Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIAAA0x3e44…6aa6 | Yes | 2,279 | 90.5¢ | $2.19K | — |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 618 | 87.4¢ | $594 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 125 |
| 90.6¢ |
| $120 |
| Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| 0xab89…3439 | Yes | 104 | 96.6¢ | $100 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 99 | 93.4¢ | $95 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 98 | 90.6¢ | $94 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 81 | 75.0¢ | $77 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | No | 943 | 10.7¢ | $37 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 567 | 9.3¢ | $22 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 278 | 9.7¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,303 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 225 | 9.4¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,132 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | No | 207 | 14.5¢ | $8 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 163 | 12.4¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 154 | 4.0¢ | $6 | — |
| misha-d10x040a…118d | No | 100 | 18.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 4 | 88.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 4 | 93.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 83 | 9.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 55 | 9.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 4.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| battleghost0xd310…18d4 | No | 40 | 30.6¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 26 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | No | 21 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 20 | 11.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| freedom690x9362…d4a4 | No | 20 | 25.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 11.9¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | No | 10 | 10.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 10,798 bets |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | No | 10 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 11,893 bets |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | No | 10 | 10.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| sdafsafd0x8513…6a53 | No | 10 | 10.2¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | No | 10 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | No | 10 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | No | 10 | 10.2¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | No | 10 | 15.1¢ | $0 | — |
| closethething120xd666…0027 | No | 10 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| romanew-cryp0xbd91…6262 | No | 7 | 12.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.04 per $100 · 3,574 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 2 | 12.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| Laribobibo0x721a…9295 | No | 1 | 20.9¢ | $0 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | No | 1 | 16.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 1 | 9.8¢ | $0 | — |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | No | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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