Market · 13 of 16 outcomes
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| airdropper0x4fd8…af91 | Yes | 10,010 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 6,725 | 4.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,148 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 6,709 | 4.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 29,929+ bets · updating |
| 0x69f0…fb27 | Yes | 5,565 | 4.3¢ | $3 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 3,146 | 4.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 2,732 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 1,659 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 1,487 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,401 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,094 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 997 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 844 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.62 per $100 · 17,356 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 813 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 810 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 762 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.22 per $100 · 20,528 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 688 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$27.96 per $100 · 1,246 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 682 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Drangtian0x3f91…2819 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 482 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 469 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 460 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 422 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 418 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 396 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.02 per $100 · 58,748+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 339 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 288 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 284 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 277 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.11 per $100 · 12,461 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 275 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 183 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 183 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.62 per $100 · 20,256 bets |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 183 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 12,103 bets |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 181 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 176 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 175 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 171 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 150 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 144 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 140 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 133 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 120 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 105 | 7.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 102 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 90 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| James-Claude0xae30…e371 | No | 0 | 72.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.