Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 65,242 | 81.0¢ | $44.7K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| december0xf910…7467 | Yes | 17,200 | 81.0¢ | $11.8K | — |
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | Yes | 16,000 | 81.8¢ | $11K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| 0x6918…f45e | Yes | 13,745 | 75.1¢ | $9.41K | — |
| blade14330x47dd…55d5 | Yes | 12,532 | 71.0¢ | $8.58K | — |
| seal70x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | 10,000 | 72.0¢ | $6.85K | Proven+$9.63 per $100 · 898 bets |
| tf20xa102…36d9 | Yes | 8,824 | 81.3¢ | $6.04K | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 679 bets |
| aoiaoiboo0x9f16…a28f | No | 18,761 | 25.0¢ | $5.91K | — |
| BlancHK0x2249…8847 | No | 17,695 | 17.8¢ | $5.57K | — |
| 0x0fe2…5aaf | Yes | 6,852 | 79.5¢ | $4.69K | — |
| Soyunelefante0x749b…9f78 | Yes | 6,447 | 73.8¢ | $4.42K | — |
| 0xb9b8…38b6 | No | 12,612 | 12.1¢ | $3.97K | — |
| 0xa7da…4c64 | Yes | 5,730 | 73.2¢ | $3.93K | — |
| 0xd0ad…b23e | No | 12,053 | 21.1¢ | $3.8K | — |
| LinaBell0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | 4,800 | 77.7¢ | $3.29K | Positive+$4.84 per $100 · 2,416 bets |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | Yes | 4,111 | 74.0¢ | $2.82K | — |
| nchgbhy0x57b0…76f4 | Yes | 4,100 | 72.0¢ | $2.81K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,943 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 3,349 | 69.0¢ | $2.29K | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| Rallydave0x4ff9…5845 | No | 6,611 | 28.6¢ | $2.08K | — |
| 0x2b42…62af | Yes | 3,000 | 70.9¢ | $2.06K | — |
| xiaopuman0xfbe2…6f8d | Yes | 2,562 | 82.2¢ | $1.76K | — |
| Moneygreen1680x3397…f5dc | Yes | 2,478 | 83.0¢ | $1.7K | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 2,206 | 67.1¢ | $1.51K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| James-Talarico0x4262…abaa | Yes | 2,200 | 73.9¢ | $1.51K | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 4,475 | 26.6¢ | $1.41K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| tengentoppa0xa93e…0a8c | Yes | 2,044 | 73.8¢ | $1.4K | — |
| 0x919d…60e1 | Yes | 2,000 | 70.1¢ | $1.37K | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 1,345 bets |
| yypower0xb313…1ce7 | No | 3,885 | 11.4¢ | $1.22K | — |
| 0xdf27…e6e4 | Yes | 1,640 | 74.5¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 199 bets |
| hideo0x95bf…e00b | Yes | 1,630 | 92.0¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$3.41 per $100 · 384 bets |
| MSFTQQQ0x475d…7fb8 | Yes | 1,566 | 81.3¢ | $1.07K | — |
| willsom0xaa99…dbbf | Yes | 1,500 | 68.3¢ | $1.03K | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 782 bets |
| ezd0x2b10…0625 | Yes | 1,460 | 83.7¢ | $1K | — |
| pie0x90ea…33ce | Yes | 1,370 | 74.5¢ | $938 | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | No | 2,849 | 26.3¢ | $897 | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,695 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,301 | 80.4¢ | $891 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| 0x92b4…31e4 | Yes | 1,276 | 86.6¢ | $874 | — |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | Yes | 1,200 | 75.8¢ | $822 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| qizhan0xac38…c04f | Yes | 1,124 | 78.1¢ | $770 | New60 settled bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 2,411 | 19.0¢ | $759 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | No | 2,346 | 31.4¢ | $739 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
| The-Defect0xac6a…2ed3 | Yes | 1,054 | 74.0¢ | $722 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,051 | 70.7¢ | $720 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| lion4490x6d8c…99f6 | No | 2,273 | 22.7¢ | $716 | Proven+$3.44 per $100 · 187 bets |
| 0x41b4…7e47 | Yes | 1,002 | 75.2¢ | $686 | — |
| dsoperative0x4be5…c1b3 | Yes | 1,000 | 71.8¢ | $685 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 451 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 1,000 | 66.0¢ | $685 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| SheepToken0xff72…cdaa | Yes | 1,000 | 67.0¢ | $685 | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 591 bets |
| ChiangWan-an0x0d5e…5c24 | Yes | 990 | 73.9¢ | $678 | — |
| huwawawa0x3344…e755 | Yes | 933 | 73.8¢ | $639 | — |
| AlexanderAB0xc66e…a52b | Yes | 921 | 83.5¢ | $631 | — |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 905 | 83.4¢ | $620 | — |
| TheGreekTraderPM0x6770…45fb | Yes | 890 | 66.2¢ | $609 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 941 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 886 | 78.5¢ | $607 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| The-Dove0xfde3…719a | Yes | 800 | 79.0¢ | $548 | — |
| RdogTest0x9908…062c | Yes | 773 | 68.1¢ | $530 | — |
| ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER0xecf4…9979 | Yes | 700 | 67.0¢ | $480 | — |
| 0805260x9ad7…4084 | Yes | 691 | 68.1¢ | $473 | — |
| zj4200x6062…dec2 | Yes | 678 | 74.5¢ | $465 | — |
| 0xdafd…5ffb | Yes | 670 | 75.8¢ | $459 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 306 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 1,442 | 25.6¢ | $454 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| Sonny-the-Joke0x85e4…5c33 | Yes | 627 | 73.1¢ | $429 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 1,353 | 29.3¢ | $426 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| nacjac0x1e54…c8cc | No | 1,319 | 29.8¢ | $416 | — |
| join-in0xbae1…3a47 | No | 971 | 8.9¢ | $306 | — |
| oi34goijg0xcd34…e620 | No | 829 | 28.8¢ | $261 | — |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 778 | 31.2¢ | $245 | — |
| 0x2a8c…6325 | No | 633 | 16.8¢ | $199 | — |
| shadukered0x81a4…b648 | No | 506 | 20.2¢ | $159 | — |
| 0x7fd5…b12a | No | 500 | 20.6¢ | $158 | — |
| PokerfaceBurrito0x333c…7dfd | No | 485 | 28.8¢ | $153 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 454 | 23.1¢ | $143 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0x51ee…0147 | No | 446 | 33.9¢ | $140 | — |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | No | 408 | 33.4¢ | $129 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 375 | 32.2¢ | $118 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| Fishnoob6110xbbe5…fe4a | No | 350 | 27.5¢ | $110 | — |
| PTK8880x7712…1aa3 | No | 303 | 33.9¢ | $95 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 281 | 15.6¢ | $89 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| Ribot0x25d6…e5e9 | No | 261 | 29.0¢ | $82 | — |
| 0953fmmiio0x5549…b7d2 | No | 250 | 20.6¢ | $79 | — |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | No | 243 | 16.5¢ | $77 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | No | 190 | 24.0¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB0x9a46…1d99 | No | 181 | 16.0¢ | $57 | — |
| 0x89e1…b640 | No | 158 | 19.6¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x185b…a7ca | No | 143 | 28.8¢ | $45 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 134 | 31.1¢ | $42 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| l2B0xea3a…b729 | No | 127 | 20.4¢ | $40 | — |
| 0xa1c7…bdbb | No | 106 | 33.9¢ | $33 | New83 settled bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 85 | 5.9¢ | $27 | — |
| JOA20260xc84e…afd3 | No | 83 | 36.9¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x610c40ff4c122046a0x497b…a32a | No | 81 | 33.7¢ | $26 | — |
| qwertyyyy0xfb5a…8008 | No | 61 | 31.0¢ | $19 | — |
| lordgamble0x7d58…462d | No | 55 | 31.0¢ | $17 | — |
| TLfantasy0x56e4…38f1 | No | 40 | 25.9¢ | $13 | — |
| aliceluna0xe901…3656 | No | 37 | 27.8¢ | $12 | — |
| Sghsszz0x5287…f715 | No | 36 | 27.8¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x4371…759c | No | 32 | 34.9¢ | $10 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 24 | 26.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 229 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.