Market · 20 of 22 outcomes
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 Action of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 81 | 97.7¢ | $80 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 150 | 1.6¢ | $1 | New0 settled bets |
| LKAtrade0xc1a9…d211 | Yes | 100 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 97 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| 94ec20x9c09…4073 | Yes | 86 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 74 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Useless720x3eb3…7133 | Yes | 50 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 44 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 41 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4edd…d5c9 | Yes | 30 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 25 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,378+ bets · updating |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 17 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| hr26g2re62de0xe381…3ba9 | Yes | 16 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jc2130x8746…2779 | Yes | 12 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Zypf70x7243…83f0 | Yes | 12 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 2,720 bets |
| 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 7 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 6 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| M3G3R0xe36c…487d | Yes | 5 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| asjebgfdaes0x2a4c…69cb | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 49ddgfd0x9070…e32c | Yes | 2 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| jfgbjsdef0x8626…acc2 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 27kgfdogodgfg0x7257…fc40 | Yes | 0 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 5,647 bets |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| jawseygvfdyjased0x6016…97cd | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.