Market · 3 of 16 outcomes
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,139 | 97.9¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,065 bets |
| peritaloco60x8b38…2875 | Yes | 65,448 | 0.3¢ | $1.05K | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 406 | 99.4¢ | $399 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Juan123456780x0267…7f7e | Yes | 10,430 | 0.3¢ | $167 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 161 | 99.7¢ | $158 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 9,831 | 1.7¢ | $157 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,710 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 8,429 | 1.7¢ | $135 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,293 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 8,263 | 1.7¢ | $132 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,453 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 7,100 | 0.3¢ | $114 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | Yes | 4,949 | 0.4¢ | $79 | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,700 | 0.1¢ | $59 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| josepmaria0xb52c…5ff5 | Yes | 3,013 | 0.2¢ | $48 | — |
| Qwerw0x9b68…94ea | Yes | 2,690 | 0.4¢ | $43 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 2,690 | 1.4¢ | $43 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Edje250x6268…6031 | Yes | 2,406 | 0.4¢ | $38 | Positive+$30.90 per $100 · 1,836 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 2,142 | 1.7¢ | $34 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| sartenlimonado0x7409…9639 | Yes | 1,468 | 0.7¢ | $23 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,200 | 0.6¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,161 | 0.7¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,142 | 1.7¢ | $18 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,927 bets |
| 0xf8ab…8081 | Yes | 767 | 1.1¢ | $12 | — |
| antocoin0x17b4…4d48 | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 301 | 1.7¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 284 | 1.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 261 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,295 bets |
| 0xe334…b195 | Yes | 250 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| TheJewishHammer0x2cc1…3e21 | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| 0xfabada000x7b8b…1ae8 | Yes | 50 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 23 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| jksdnf0xb6bf…c1c1 | Yes | 20 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 474 bets |
| CT-test0x5ad6…d276 | Yes | 17 | 0.5¢ | $0 | New32 settled bets |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 1 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 1 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 0 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,099 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 0 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 0 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.