Market · 15 of 16 outcomes
Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xTxx0xc9c0…71da | Yes | 10,432 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 6,205 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,377 | 4.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 35,318+ bets · updating |
| 0x69f0…fb27 | Yes | 4,846 | 4.3¢ | $2 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 4,474 | 4.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,250 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 3,005 | 4.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 2,213 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.83 per $100 · 36,312+ bets · updating |
| kanyesigyekatheryn0x91d7…5f2e | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| nioramma0xde5c…fb30 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 1,619 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 1,487 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,421 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 1,304 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,199 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,156 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 864 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 682 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 619 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 591 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,799 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 484 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.62 per $100 · 17,356 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 471 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 470 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 469 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,505 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 418 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 410 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 396 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 388 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 288 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 288 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 20,554 bets |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 284 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 277 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,708 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 261 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 236 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 183 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 12,103 bets |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 181 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 171 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 144 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 122 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 120 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 100 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.62 per $100 · 20,256 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 90 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| bancomaster0xa7ed…18f6 | Yes | 86 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 70 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 62 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E74750xb0d6…7475 | Yes | 61 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 51 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| S020x1fe9…33e1 | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 50 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.