Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdoqwkp120x0c52…f01f | No | 1,981 | 70.5¢ | $1.81K | — |
| HimuraKenshin0xa8d4…0a2f | No | 300 | 89.4¢ | $274 | — |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 177 | 89.8¢ | $161 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| polymath230x669d…19b0 | No | 125 | 71.5¢ | $114 | — |
| Dippingtoes0xb31f…2e03 | No | 92 | 85.9¢ | $84 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 85 | 88.0¢ | $77 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| vhsena0xc2a3…a7b0 | No | 46 | 93.0¢ | $42 | — |
| rocky420170xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | 433 | 31.3¢ | $38 | — |
| ChixNStix0x2901…f4d6 | Yes | 327 | 37.4¢ | $29 | — |
| Teeeeeeeth0x9458…c97f | Yes | 320 | 14.0¢ | $28 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 28 | 92.9¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| ponydsb0xe8dc…3e53 | No | 20 | 93.1¢ | $18 | — |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 18 | 85.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x115d…0a01 | Yes | 179 | 9.1¢ | $16 | — |
| T1m3chaser0xf1e2…0bd8 | Yes | 168 | 12.4¢ | $15 | New17 settled bets |
| jaadeeess0xb8a4…0de2 | Yes | 128 | 14.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x9779…bb8a | Yes | 119 | 7.0¢ | $10 | — |
| IndigoWalrus0xbca2…d884 | Yes | 111 | 9.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 93.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 10 | 90.6¢ | $9 | — |
| niggabutt0xef67…2a33 | Yes | 99 | 11.2¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x2749…0548 | Yes | 93 | 9.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 91 | 7.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 76 | 3.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| 0xcf3f…ecfe | No | 7 | 70.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Tortfeasor0x20ed…0231 | Yes | 74 | 13.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 60 | 31.5¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| iwishthisworks0x51a1…2335 | Yes | 55 | 4.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 53 | 3.2¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 5 | 84.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 45 | 3.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 45 | 6.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 35 | 24.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| vale.glez0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | 32 | 6.5¢ | $3 | — |
| paas20xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | 30 | 31.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 44,850+ bets · updating |
| 0xc90d…14cc | Yes | 30 | 10.5¢ | $3 | — |
| SchottyJ0x949f…b038 | Yes | 29 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7d02…8c95 | Yes | 29 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 28 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | 27 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 23 | 4.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe7cc…a46b | Yes | 22 | 4.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x50dd…43bd | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x99bc…4f35 | No | 2 | 44.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc995…9ebe | Yes | 18 | 11.4¢ | $2 | — |
| smallnewt0x3c57…3cb3 | Yes | 16 | 61.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$37.17 per $100 · 155 bets |
| JustBot20x1989…2370 | No | 1 | 86.0¢ | $1 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 15 | 31.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| ljklklkh0x463e…e423 | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| NelyCoberghhh0xcaa7…2f82 | No | 1 | 79.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8a25…834b | Yes | 12 | 8.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcdbe…d712 | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Slutnasty0x4034…c23c | Yes | 10 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2c65…9379 | Yes | 10 | 16.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.82 per $100 · 762 bets |
| 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | 10 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 9 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 8 | 5.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 229 bets |
| Khbk0xe246…a36c | Yes | 6 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x496c…3e28 | Yes | 5 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Kwarmwa0x1981…9a0b | Yes | 5 | 30.0¢ | $0 | — |
| no1biao0xdf08…cf97 | No | 0 | 56.2¢ | $0 | — |
| dopeturtle0x7119…1af8 | Yes | 3 | 34.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 16r0ob0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | 1 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 1 | 7.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.89 per $100 · 8,678 bets |
| foxer780x2b56…6431 | No | 0 | 73.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ScissorsDefense0x53a3…e5af | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| MiniTiger0xae01…0c40 | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
| IrthBirth0xc092…5428 | No | 0 | 47.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | No | 0 | 83.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | 0 | 9.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.06 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 4.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.