Brad Ausmus

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 96.4¢ right now.

Decided by

The market resolves according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies.§1

No appointment

If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other."§2

Interim managers

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers do not impact the market's resolution.§3

Early announcement

Announcement of a new permanent manager before the market's close date immediately resolves the market, regardless of when the appointment takes effect.§4

Counted

The next permanent manager appointed for the Philadelphia Phillies; non-permanent managers are not counted.§3

Source

Official information from the Philadelphia Phillies; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§5

Closes

Feb 1, 2027 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.