Market · 2 of 14 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanes0x2c5a…df23 | Yes | 1,053 | 49.2¢ | $574 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 1,049 | 33.5¢ | $572 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 740 | 77.3¢ | $337 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 24,560 bets |
| Egozic860x744c…e37f | No | 441 | 69.5¢ | $201 | Break-even−$0.73 per $100 · 851 bets |
| 0xd490…e8e2 | No | 338 | 50.2¢ | $154 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 237 | 53.0¢ | $108 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 6,907 bets |
| 0x5274…1fe4 | Yes | 158 | 53.0¢ | $86 | New29 settled bets |
| oldcai0xe76b…ad7f | No | 145 | 54.7¢ | $66 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 134 | 51.0¢ | $61 | Proven+$13.23 per $100 · 1,719 bets |
| okx820x6cca…82ea | Yes | 109 | 46.1¢ | $59 | — |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me0x4cdb…172c | Yes | 100 | 34.0¢ | $54 | Losing−$1.04 per $100 · 2,710 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 115 | 67.4¢ | $52 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 100 | 50.0¢ | $46 | — |
| 0xc650…b5c2 | Yes | 82 | 62.7¢ | $45 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | 76 | 20.0¢ | $41 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
| GekkeHenkie230x5c3a…d4f4 | No | 70 | 65.6¢ | $32 | New31 settled bets |
| peopleling0xa0be…dcc8 | No | 70 | 53.7¢ | $32 | — |
| cbtl0x55ff…77c6 | No | 66 | 46.9¢ | $30 | Losing−$1.55 per $100 · 640 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 57 | 52.4¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,273 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 57 | 83.0¢ | $26 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| 0x492b…103f | No | 48 | 84.0¢ | $22 | Proven+$4.50 per $100 · 131 bets |
| 0xc250…4faf | No | 47 | 52.7¢ | $21 | — |
| 15m-money0xa7ac…592f | Yes | 34 | 29.0¢ | $19 | — |
| millerglenn0x8d80…50bb | No | 36 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| aeschela0x103e…70d3 | Yes | 29 | 52.7¢ | $16 | — |
| Nek-30x0cb7…c911 | Yes | 28 | 45.7¢ | $15 | New54 settled bets |
| mmzhu30xf639…efd8 | Yes | 22 | 63.4¢ | $12 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 22 | 41.3¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| QuantumLeapy0x8ead…f333 | No | 25 | 70.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xe06a…48c2 | No | 20 | 67.6¢ | $9 | — |
| williamwuzz0x727e…cfa5 | No | 20 | 52.7¢ | $9 | New56 settled bets |
| Sh0oT3R0x27b2…7149 | Yes | 15 | 35.6¢ | $8 | — |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | No | 15 | 37.6¢ | $7 | — |
| scottmcintosh0x7e67…268d | No | 13 | 70.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Gnimon0x8b11…65f8 | Yes | 9 | 24.2¢ | $5 | — |
| SmokeDrinkPerm0xfe61…e9c2 | Yes | 7 | 31.5¢ | $4 | — |
| xxtxxt0xc46e…921b | Yes | 7 | 31.5¢ | $4 | — |
| sajere0x4195…7a01 | Yes | 6 | 32.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | No | 5 | 52.7¢ | $2 | — |
| tokenium0x471c…9e94 | No | 4 | 52.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.35 per $100 · 610 bets |
| skkycrypto0x7d11…035a | No | 2 | 46.7¢ | $1 | — |
| MARV-10x1b75…490c | No | 2 | 55.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.50 per $100 · 567 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 1 | 32.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 1 | 52.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · Oct 12 · 2 events · $123K in play