Market · 1 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 15,897 | 83.8¢ | $13.2K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| beheo1230x2476…8436 | Yes | 12,653 | 68.3¢ | $10.5K | New50 settled bets |
| Rhabarberbarbarbar0x55e2…5fc9 | Yes | 6,832 | 63.6¢ | $5.67K | — |
| 10Alexander3210x4d6e…f977 | No | 18,212 | 16.2¢ | $3.1K | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | Yes | 3,362 | 84.2¢ | $2.79K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| 0x91c3…409f | Yes | 3,236 | 78.2¢ | $2.69K | New0 settled bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 3,007 | 77.6¢ | $2.5K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| bitterfish0x1cd2…7f85 | No | 10,401 | 48.3¢ | $1.77K | Proven+$9.32 per $100 · 595 bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 1,000 | 59.7¢ | $830 | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| DrTie0x9343…3f72 | No | 4,748 | 44.4¢ | $807 | — |
| Bodriy0x075e…1840 | Yes | 970 | 56.9¢ | $805 | — |
| TryingToNotLose0x71e2…31c4 | No | 4,300 | 28.3¢ | $731 | — |
| Egozic860x744c…e37f | No | 2,645 | 35.7¢ | $450 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 2,053 | 30.4¢ | $349 | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| Josecrypto0xb275…28b1 | No | 1,304 | 24.2¢ | $222 | — |
| Bucovina0x9196…c311 | No | 1,300 | 19.2¢ | $221 | — |
| 0xe35b…b542 | Yes | 185 | 85.0¢ | $153 | — |
| 0x0f93…e8c0 | No | 887 | 26.8¢ | $151 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 817 | 31.8¢ | $139 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| alex4kiss0x5f09…6a0f | Yes | 167 | 61.7¢ | $138 | — |
| RunLike0x4c39…f73a | Yes | 157 | 62.6¢ | $130 | — |
| 0x8888…0b39 | No | 713 | 23.1¢ | $121 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 24,526 bets |
| DatosNoRelatos0x05f7…b680 | Yes | 127 | 79.9¢ | $105 | — |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | 104 | 81.8¢ | $86 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| Nyam0x019c…b424 | Yes | 100 | 74.4¢ | $83 | — |
| Pre-rich-dude0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | 100 | 85.0¢ | $83 | — |
| Hugopari0x7804…2d8e | Yes | 100 | 76.0¢ | $83 | — |
| 0xfdb0…46c7 | Yes | 68 | 80.9¢ | $56 | — |
| AnaFav0x41cb…a5df | Yes | 66 | 82.2¢ | $55 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | Yes | 56 | 87.0¢ | $46 | — |
| TheManInTheSky0x4bc2…597a | Yes | 53 | 82.5¢ | $44 | — |
| Wirpool960x2116…13a3 | Yes | 48 | 81.4¢ | $40 | — |
| yonismahad0x7822…46c2 | No | 208 | 25.1¢ | $35 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 201 | 30.3¢ | $34 | — |
| bea130xd930…0eaa | Yes | 40 | 78.1¢ | $33 | — |
| sentewa400x7b41…50a7 | No | 179 | 17.7¢ | $30 | — |
| Blus0x3198…6207 | No | 158 | 19.6¢ | $27 | — |
| gdk10x4819…183c | Yes | 30 | 67.6¢ | $25 | — |
| godcathusky0xc54e…9598 | Yes | 30 | 67.6¢ | $25 | — |
| jinwujinshu0x06fb…9713 | Yes | 30 | 78.2¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 895 bets |
| JustThink0x3958…938f | Yes | 27 | 76.7¢ | $22 | — |
| JoshMax0x3094…32e2 | No | 120 | 24.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 91 | 31.9¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| 0xloren0x69bc…577d | No | 83 | 25.3¢ | $14 | — |
| lukapol0xe935…3991 | Yes | 17 | 84.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Edison-20260x5832…ac2c | Yes | 16 | 62.7¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 13 | 72.4¢ | $11 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 13 | 84.4¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| gogo-v50x4878…5239 | No | 50 | 23.0¢ | $9 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 50 | 15.4¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 13,909 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | Yes | 10 | 58.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | Yes | 10 | 58.0¢ | $8 | — |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | Yes | 10 | 58.0¢ | $8 | — |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | Yes | 10 | 58.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 4,786 bets |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | Yes | 10 | 58.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | Yes | 10 | 58.0¢ | $8 | — |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | Yes | 10 | 58.0¢ | $8 | — |
| aaab819d0x901e…58f0 | Yes | 10 | 58.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xa377…2b3b | Yes | 10 | 77.3¢ | $8 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | Yes | 10 | 58.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 10 | 73.6¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x5065…66c3 | No | 44 | 36.8¢ | $7 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 8 | 52.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Schmiegelow0x9eb9…3ed3 | Yes | 8 | 72.4¢ | $7 | — |
| ofmain0x5a9c…cdb2 | Yes | 7 | 73.4¢ | $6 | — |
| infinsai0x7ecc…6c37 | Yes | 5 | 78.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4c08…fbb1 | No | 20 | 26.5¢ | $3 | — |
| kingaoleo0x3da4…6682 | Yes | 4 | 80.2¢ | $3 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 17 | 25.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.72 per $100 · 137,798+ bets · updating |
| 0xe1ba…c53e | Yes | 3 | 60.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Lettucehands20x12ac…cae8 | No | 11 | 45.7¢ | $2 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 22.0¢ | $2 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 22.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6ed3…645d | No | 9 | 23.2¢ | $2 | — |
| caph0xeb12…d2b1 | No | 7 | 39.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kx360x049b…5a12 | No | 6 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8356…08b0 | No | 5 | 26.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xed3e…6f2d | No | 3 | 36.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8461…1aaf | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 3 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play