↑ 84,000

Decided by

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candle on the title date, 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM ET, has a High price at or above the title price.§1

Other prices excluded

Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are not considered.§5

Binance only

The outcome depends solely on price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair.§4

Counted

Any Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candle's final High price on the title date, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET.§1

Source

Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with 1m candles selected on the top bar.§3

Closes

Oct 12, 2026 · 04:00 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Chance of Yes

• ↑ 85,000 5.8¢
• ↓ 82,000 3.3¢
• ↑ 86,000 1.8¢
• ↓ 81,000 0.8¢
• ↓ 80,000 0.8¢
• ↑ 88,000 0.6¢
• ↑ 87,000 0.5¢
• ↑ 89,000 0.3¢
• ↓ 78,000 0.3¢
• ↓ 76,000 0.3¢
• ↑ 90,000 0.2¢
• ↓ 79,000 0.1¢

2 more outcomes in this event.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.