Market · 19 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 41,657 | 96.1¢ | $41.2K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| pilimili0xd104…acef | No | 20,000 | 96.8¢ | $19.8K | Losing−$3.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 16,305 | 96.6¢ | $16.1K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No | 15,218 | 98.7¢ | $15K | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| HandsomeLi0x9bbf…c59f | No | 12,480 | 98.1¢ | $12.3K | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 251 bets |
| elreptil0xb8d2…c66b | No | 5,291 | 94.9¢ | $5.23K | Proven+$2.57 per $100 · 173 bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 5,000 | 98.2¢ | $4.94K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| haydat0x8f3c…b4b8 | No | 4,500 | 94.9¢ | $4.45K | — |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | No | 4,199 | 97.0¢ | $4.15K | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| SuckMyDicck0x07e1…9010 | No | 3,668 | 97.7¢ | $3.62K | — |
| UPbet0x7887…2cf0 | No | 3,370 | 95.3¢ | $3.33K | — |
| DmJug0x4473…5743 | No | 2,409 | 95.8¢ | $2.38K | New71 settled bets |
| jiqlanwudicz0xfd19…9a16 | No | 2,093 | 98.5¢ | $2.07K | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 1,586 | 97.8¢ | $1.57K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| 0x74b4…6bea | No | 1,500 | 94.2¢ | $1.48K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 411 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 1,493 | 94.9¢ | $1.48K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| wudichaozhoulan0x0b7b…8673 | No | 1,492 | 98.6¢ | $1.47K | New40 settled bets |
| landiannao50x4f74…c6ca | No | 1,488 | 98.6¢ | $1.47K | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,390 | 96.4¢ | $1.37K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| lucky670x81d6…91af | No | 1,211 | 99.1¢ | $1.2K | — |
| yi6999620x6e56…777c | No | 1,208 | 99.0¢ | $1.19K | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 1,199 | 98.8¢ | $1.18K | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 1,180 | 98.4¢ | $1.17K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| kuangdebiao0x2810…608c | No | 1,115 | 98.7¢ | $1.1K | — |
| rainny8190x3a77…d404 | No | 1,057 | 97.5¢ | $1.04K | — |
| tiantal0x0d70…aa8f | No | 1,014 | 98.7¢ | $1K | — |
| Fantadong0x9352…33fa | No | 1,000 | 93.5¢ | $988 | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 994 | 98.2¢ | $982 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| pagechuan0x2f4f…4eb4 | No | 886 | 97.3¢ | $875 | — |
| 0xd5e3…e379 | No | 881 | 95.4¢ | $870 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 835 | 93.8¢ | $825 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 711 | 98.6¢ | $702 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| OLOTH0x8de6…2938 | No | 704 | 98.7¢ | $696 | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 1,145 bets |
| gutianleq0xaff6…9982 | No | 582 | 98.0¢ | $575 | — |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 540 | 95.6¢ | $534 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,614 bets |
| manual8888880xdabe…8e15 | No | 500 | 94.1¢ | $494 | — |
| pennytrader0x0bab…9eb2 | No | 500 | 98.0¢ | $494 | — |
| MyCatIsOnFire0x2370…c496 | No | 427 | 95.2¢ | $422 | — |
| malakay0xf288…2879 | No | 409 | 98.8¢ | $404 | — |
| fafaly0x5b4c…0c86 | No | 396 | 98.8¢ | $391 | — |
| cryptonesiac0x9b1e…cc93 | No | 370 | 95.5¢ | $366 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 305 | 98.4¢ | $301 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| E00mmer0x2a32…2db4 | No | 300 | 96.9¢ | $296 | — |
| 0xb6c6…043d | No | 265 | 94.9¢ | $262 | — |
| crybaby1110x47d7…8084 | No | 262 | 95.3¢ | $258 | — |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 19,806 | 1.8¢ | $238 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| dodogogo0x0afd…d70b | No | 234 | 97.7¢ | $231 | — |
| 0x7655…1fa8 | Yes | 19,266 | 4.8¢ | $231 | Proven+$14.22 per $100 · 641 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 19,192 | 6.3¢ | $230 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| kanrite0xb708…34e4 | No | 220 | 95.4¢ | $217 | — |
| DeborahRowe0x8ba8…6b94 | No | 219 | 95.2¢ | $216 | — |
| kara11180xf21f…4ef6 | No | 214 | 97.3¢ | $211 | — |
| hakhdn0x102f…7a56 | Yes | 17,193 | 3.7¢ | $206 | — |
| 0x76d9…205a | Yes | 15,615 | 1.9¢ | $187 | — |
| DK20270xc9b5…6207 | Yes | 12,165 | 1.8¢ | $146 | — |
| kangkang1230xf5bc…2c49 | Yes | 12,060 | 5.0¢ | $145 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 8,990 | 3.1¢ | $108 | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| 0x0141…5a5c | Yes | 8,772 | 4.3¢ | $105 | — |
| 0x01cd…cbd3 | Yes | 3,684 | 1.4¢ | $44 | — |
| BTRSPORTS0xa32f…28bc | Yes | 3,181 | 3.4¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x1330…b4b5 | Yes | 2,939 | 5.3¢ | $35 | Proven+$9.36 per $100 · 630 bets |
| AlexGark0x860b…aada | Yes | 2,785 | 2.1¢ | $33 | — |
| vitordeng3580xbd7e…875d | Yes | 2,490 | 2.3¢ | $30 | — |
| Patriotsss0xa018…3d31 | Yes | 2,300 | 1.5¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x8e0f…5080 | Yes | 2,246 | 1.7¢ | $27 | — |
| 245080x0129…f939 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.6¢ | $24 | New92 settled bets |
| Nickolay19870x8c34…0b3d | Yes | 1,944 | 2.1¢ | $23 | — |
| lcresearch0x2379…1f3a | Yes | 1,704 | 3.1¢ | $20 | — |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 1,615 | 2.7¢ | $19 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| qsfjsjhfs0x9e01…a4ba | Yes | 1,581 | 6.7¢ | $19 | — |
| SanCristo0xa07e…7db6 | Yes | 1,295 | 2.1¢ | $16 | — |
| Big-Tino0x1ed8…d781 | Yes | 1,232 | 1.2¢ | $15 | — |
| 2026year0xf8ab…8829 | Yes | 972 | 6.1¢ | $12 | — |
| Humbly40xaa45…2e20 | Yes | 563 | 3.4¢ | $7 | — |
| tuananh010119860x489a…e15f | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x132f…7cdc | Yes | 480 | 2.7¢ | $6 | — |
| FrancisBony0xfb96…9f8b | Yes | 388 | 1.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Notedegen0x9140…cf5e | Yes | 317 | 6.7¢ | $4 | — |
| kitty070xe84f…af9c | Yes | 300 | 6.9¢ | $4 | — |
| ezm0neyhere0x658b…01b8 | Yes | 283 | 1.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x946a…a9e5 | Yes | 277 | 4.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7635…440a | Yes | 267 | 1.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd4db…ed4b | Yes | 200 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 139 | 2.3¢ | $2 | — |
| elonbhai0x2d50…2917 | Yes | 100 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| BorshKing0xff6b…31c6 | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 93 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.52 per $100 · 111,745+ bets · updating |
| FaucetWiki0x8aac…0e7a | Yes | 79 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 3,494 bets |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 72 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| sanya1110x75b0…07e7 | Yes | 69 | 4.6¢ | $1 | — |
| ishka5500x6358…a7aa | Yes | 54 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0708…f218 | Yes | 40 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| easyautomate0xd069…d078 | Yes | 38 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lemonmina0x1ee7…4ea8 | Yes | 30 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Kaskstp0xa43b…4c5a | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd14d…d689 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| kostakosta0x116c…7444 | Yes | 17 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa149…0c8d | Yes | 17 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.