Market · 16 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 58,874 | 96.4¢ | $57.9K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| pilimili0xd104…acef | No | 40,000 | 93.5¢ | $39.3K | Losing−$3.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 15,000 | 94.4¢ | $14.8K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,614 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 5,976 | 97.2¢ | $5.88K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 3,500 | 96.0¢ | $3.44K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 720 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 2,326 | 94.2¢ | $2.29K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| iloveevelyn0x881e…70f8 | No | 2,055 | 97.5¢ | $2.02K | — |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | No | 2,000 | 96.7¢ | $1.97K | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No | 1,905 | 97.9¢ | $1.87K | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| Hung-binance2470x22e1…80bf | No | 1,053 | 95.3¢ | $1.04K | Proven+$4.40 per $100 · 100 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 977 | 98.0¢ | $961 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 922 | 94.7¢ | $907 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| Manhohoho0xd800…c256 | No | 695 | 95.7¢ | $684 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 605 | 97.5¢ | $595 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 558 | 95.2¢ | $549 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,049 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 32,045 | 6.4¢ | $529 | Proven+$13.75 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| haydat0x8f3c…b4b8 | No | 500 | 93.0¢ | $492 | — |
| 0x7655…1fa8 | Yes | 21,660 | 7.5¢ | $357 | Proven+$14.22 per $100 · 641 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 19,136 | 7.5¢ | $316 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| 245080x0129…f939 | Yes | 17,745 | 3.8¢ | $293 | New92 settled bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 289 | 93.5¢ | $284 | — |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 14,341 | 2.8¢ | $237 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 24,268 bets |
| afaus0x5d5d…6be6 | No | 200 | 93.5¢ | $197 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 567 bets |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | 200 | 91.6¢ | $197 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| MrManning0xda14…a40c | No | 200 | 92.0¢ | $197 | — |
| 1.10x887a…3aee | No | 120 | 98.1¢ | $118 | — |
| ivanx4k0x900e…a4d3 | No | 105 | 97.8¢ | $103 | — |
| SuAlteza0x1c86…c427 | No | 100 | 93.5¢ | $98 | — |
| love3900x47dd…036c | No | 100 | 98.2¢ | $98 | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | Yes | 4,805 | 2.7¢ | $79 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| Mirko3680x2160…c5fe | No | 79 | 92.0¢ | $78 | — |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 4,587 | 3.8¢ | $76 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| 0xcba7…f187 | No | 74 | 95.8¢ | $72 | — |
| FakeLove20250x3112…c69e | Yes | 4,000 | 7.4¢ | $66 | — |
| Voty0x984c…82a9 | Yes | 3,385 | 5.4¢ | $56 | — |
| 0xfdb9…84dc | No | 52 | 96.3¢ | $51 | — |
| tianween0x09b3…2cd8 | No | 50 | 94.4¢ | $49 | — |
| cryptonesiac0x9b1e…cc93 | No | 50 | 93.0¢ | $49 | — |
| trader-23b4fbcc0x23b4…8e7a | No | 49 | 98.3¢ | $48 | — |
| 0x0cfe…74b8 | Yes | 2,158 | 3.1¢ | $36 | — |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 31 | 93.5¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 1,858 bets |
| 0xf4d2…2390 | No | 30 | 92.0¢ | $30 | — |
| Humbly40xaa45…2e20 | Yes | 1,627 | 3.5¢ | $27 | — |
| Prok0xacf0…637c | Yes | 1,608 | 6.4¢ | $27 | — |
| phoneormoneyclown0x8db2…2c02 | No | 27 | 94.4¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x3a0a…37c6 | No | 25 | 93.5¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x1304…5bc5 | No | 24 | 93.5¢ | $23 | — |
| wAliens0xddae…52c4 | Yes | 1,390 | 2.4¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x125d…4f51 | No | 22 | 94.4¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x22c9…0c60 | No | 22 | 94.4¢ | $22 | — |
| 0xfbd7…3349 | No | 22 | 93.5¢ | $21 | — |
| guzi6660xf165…d277 | No | 20 | 93.5¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xa0d2…2547 | No | 20 | 94.4¢ | $20 | — |
| Ignitx0xab2a…27ee | No | 20 | 95.3¢ | $20 | — |
| Tsubasa0xcfde…4006 | No | 20 | 93.0¢ | $20 | — |
| qsfjsjhfs0x9e01…a4ba | Yes | 1,153 | 9.2¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x67f9…67d4 | No | 19 | 94.4¢ | $19 | — |
| A15ThePredator0x5cc4…b4f2 | Yes | 1,100 | 5.4¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x7d7b…8677 | No | 17 | 94.4¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xb02c…34eb | No | 17 | 95.3¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x017d…8bad | No | 16 | 93.5¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xc7b1…752e | No | 16 | 93.5¢ | $16 | — |
| lcresearch0x2379…1f3a | Yes | 878 | 5.7¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xb6c6…043d | Yes | 698 | 3.4¢ | $12 | — |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 609 | 5.3¢ | $10 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| caseyj0x63ca…9265 | Yes | 500 | 3.6¢ | $8 | — |
| shangqian0xf180…f908 | Yes | 500 | 2.8¢ | $8 | — |
| vitordeng3580xbd7e…875d | Yes | 500 | 1.8¢ | $8 | — |
| HiMisha0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | 500 | 1.7¢ | $8 | New67 settled bets |
| FrancisBony0xfb96…9f8b | Yes | 480 | 2.4¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x036c…e838 | Yes | 438 | 4.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x8888…0b39 | Yes | 426 | 2.3¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 24,526 bets |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | Yes | 400 | 10.6¢ | $7 | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| AyeAye20250x6c9f…d1a9 | Yes | 385 | 5.2¢ | $6 | — |
| SpurkyL0x36a8…10c4 | Yes | 345 | 3.1¢ | $6 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 295 | 7.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| Cryptos24x70x063d…35c7 | Yes | 275 | 2.8¢ | $5 | — |
| nibbio10x08cb…d5aa | Yes | 200 | 3.0¢ | $3 | — |
| speed-70xda89…f562 | Yes | 157 | 6.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Jinka120x8972…c8de | Yes | 142 | 5.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe53a…c045 | Yes | 128 | 7.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x10e8…c707 | Yes | 77 | 8.5¢ | $1 | — |
| sanya1110x75b0…07e7 | Yes | 54 | 5.9¢ | $1 | — |
| JasonYan30x99e2…01d5 | Yes | 53 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| aticool0x3cba…20c1 | Yes | 53 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Terrence19920xc094…c8d4 | Yes | 51 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| FaucetWiki0x8aac…0e7a | Yes | 48 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 3,494 bets |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | 42 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 40 | 7.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.17 per $100 · 30,004+ bets · updating |
| 0xd900…2fd6 | Yes | 33 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9bd7…9e0a | Yes | 29 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7c3e…4c13 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb66c…a0f5 | Yes | 17 | 8.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 14,833 bets |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 15 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| sygfn0x3718…e3e5 | Yes | 13 | 8.5¢ | $0 | — |
| caph0xeb12…d2b1 | Yes | 1 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play