Market · 6 of 15 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nearping0xf16f…9f16 | No | 8,000 | 99.8¢ | $8K | — |
| Facaie0xf70e…81df | No | 6,533 | 99.6¢ | $6.53K | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 2,104 bets |
| ZeinST0xb7cd…6827 | No | 6,000 | 99.9¢ | $6K | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 2,942 bets |
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 2,245 | 99.1¢ | $2.24K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| beeshe0x86b7…9e4c | No | 385 | 99.8¢ | $385 | — |
| holderma0xf5db…6e4e | No | 385 | 99.8¢ | $385 | — |
| leetom0xd68f…e402 | No | 380 | 99.8¢ | $380 | — |
| versee0x4482…446c | No | 356 | 99.8¢ | $356 | — |
| Xiao7770x5040…dde5 | No | 336 | 99.9¢ | $336 | — |
| xiaojia10xc46d…9e12 | No | 318 | 99.9¢ | $318 | — |
| 0x9157…626b | No | 313 | 99.7¢ | $313 | Proven+$3.52 per $100 · 562 bets |
| xianhao0100x5633…b860 | No | 312 | 99.9¢ | $312 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 301 | 99.3¢ | $301 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| XX9900xe304…648d | No | 277 | 99.9¢ | $277 | — |
| JJ5500x8412…8967 | No | 242 | 99.9¢ | $242 | — |
| jiabao220x5bda…1aa0 | No | 183 | 99.9¢ | $183 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 165 | 98.8¢ | $165 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| 0xaas0x8d4f…9197 | No | 134 | 99.9¢ | $134 | — |
| 4575fdsfg650x979b…a45f | No | 123 | 99.9¢ | $123 | — |
| Xiaoqiu20xd6a4…823f | No | 122 | 99.9¢ | $122 | — |
| gt3cs0x9a17…f977 | No | 116 | 99.4¢ | $116 | — |
| cqq9foxm0xe902…ec5c | No | 115 | 99.9¢ | $115 | — |
| HUB55480x6db4…87ff | No | 114 | 99.9¢ | $114 | — |
| 568459680x697d…8940 | No | 111 | 99.9¢ | $111 | — |
| holdbtc0x8734…36b2 | No | 106 | 99.9¢ | $106 | — |
| 360320x7d5d…7405 | No | 103 | 99.9¢ | $103 | — |
| 87ko890x34c7…b730 | No | 101 | 99.9¢ | $101 | — |
| fakera0x3b63…c6e4 | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| hookl0xb8a7…767d | No | 92 | 99.9¢ | $92 | — |
| jook40x37ba…6aff | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| JerryJerryJerry0x3f31…169d | No | 90 | 99.9¢ | $90 | — |
| opstoc0xc496…6488 | No | 90 | 99.9¢ | $90 | — |
| j888s0xb8a2…69e1 | No | 73 | 99.1¢ | $73 | — |
| usdds0x3801…595e | No | 73 | 99.9¢ | $73 | — |
| xiaohao0230x6786…c034 | No | 72 | 99.9¢ | $72 | — |
| 12474085890xf135…3243 | No | 70 | 99.8¢ | $70 | — |
| DSR40x5fdd…7818 | No | 67 | 99.4¢ | $67 | — |
| lklkpps0x6859…e5dd | No | 63 | 99.9¢ | $63 | — |
| ulgil0x2bd6…9adc | No | 62 | 99.9¢ | $62 | — |
| ttff40x0fdc…58e8 | No | 60 | 99.9¢ | $60 | — |
| 112458630xda74…9511 | No | 55 | 99.8¢ | $55 | — |
| 0012440x2794…8d4a | No | 55 | 99.9¢ | $55 | — |
| sogambile0x3f11…ac5c | No | 55 | 99.9¢ | $55 | — |
| rt6660x2a2a…6c58 | No | 54 | 99.8¢ | $54 | — |
| 1730025460x348b…ac22 | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | — |
| qwdr0x7c66…e6ba | No | 49 | 99.6¢ | $49 | — |
| mnnvr0x4352…057a | No | 44 | 99.8¢ | $44 | — |
| kil740x8b1d…5042 | No | 44 | 99.9¢ | $44 | — |
| bangteu0x34f3…ae78 | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | — |
| 6tgk0xffbf…fd54 | No | 34 | 99.4¢ | $34 | — |
| whitemare0xc72f…0f87 | Yes | 11,513 | 0.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Nonurbusines0x76c8…e383 | Yes | 5,244 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| thomasjacobs0xa62c…9a08 | Yes | 3,238 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x92b3…da50 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 1,940 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| 0x3ecf…59f8 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x66db…921a | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9a05…79a1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Joewrites0xb172…7a41 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x792f…a740 | Yes | 873 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0b87…8fc2 | Yes | 390 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ferizio0xfbfa…01aa | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 200 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa149…0c8d | Yes | 59 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 55 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · Oct 1 · 32 events · $824K in play