Market · 2 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 3,161 | 88.2¢ | $2.58K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 0x8888…0b39 | Yes | 2,497 | 94.2¢ | $2.04K | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 24,526 bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | 860 | 83.6¢ | $701 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 770 | 87.8¢ | $628 | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| 0xc58f…e0aa | No | 2,467 | 11.6¢ | $456 | — |
| 0x815d…8648 | No | 2,385 | 6.0¢ | $441 | Losing−$12.43 per $100 · 130 bets |
| Bucovina0x9196…c311 | No | 1,719 | 16.6¢ | $318 | — |
| Romiche220x7ed0…9c4f | Yes | 200 | 88.0¢ | $163 | Proven+$7.56 per $100 · 3,291 bets |
| omg870xb326…c43f | No | 800 | 23.6¢ | $148 | — |
| copim0x4ecf…75d2 | No | 491 | 9.0¢ | $91 | — |
| akatbo0x42d6…7ea9 | Yes | 111 | 82.1¢ | $91 | — |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | Yes | 111 | 91.0¢ | $91 | — |
| niefeng0xfe65…cd92 | Yes | 110 | 91.5¢ | $90 | — |
| TheSwingState0x2a16…6f38 | Yes | 100 | 80.0¢ | $82 | — |
| PollWatcher0x2ef9…d9b1 | Yes | 100 | 80.0¢ | $82 | — |
| CapitolCashing0x3107…fe91 | Yes | 100 | 80.0¢ | $82 | — |
| PippiTrader0x403f…94f1 | Yes | 100 | 76.0¢ | $82 | Proven+$3.81 per $100 · 7,495 bets |
| VoterVantage0x6d93…3741 | Yes | 100 | 80.0¢ | $82 | — |
| Geopolitician0080xe35d…0de2 | Yes | 100 | 80.0¢ | $82 | — |
| PolicyPlayer0xe6de…8d6a | Yes | 100 | 80.0¢ | $82 | — |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | 85 | 86.0¢ | $69 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| 0x3784…61d2 | No | 311 | 17.2¢ | $58 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 238 | 17.6¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 49 | 83.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| bea130xd930…0eaa | Yes | 40 | 93.3¢ | $33 | — |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 35 | 78.0¢ | $28 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| Unclestan0x5cf2…137b | No | 122 | 8.7¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.58 per $100 · 415 bets |
| Lighmilk0x9356…30c8 | No | 111 | 9.6¢ | $21 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 70 | 5.6¢ | $13 | Losing−$5.64 per $100 · 56,263+ bets · updating |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 13 | 89.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| caph0xeb12…d2b1 | Yes | 10 | 83.6¢ | $8 | — |
| gotonetry330x66e0…e8f0 | Yes | 10 | 88.7¢ | $8 | — |
| flywheelpoly0xb637…4c42 | Yes | 10 | 92.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Daliyoung0xbfbd…8b0f | No | 28 | 8.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x59bc…1968 | Yes | 5 | 95.4¢ | $4 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | No | 18 | 6.1¢ | $3 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa906…77ba | No | 5 | 22.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Chrispyanus0x127a…f0c6 | Yes | 1 | 79.0¢ | $1 | — |
| And-Gangsta0xe68b…b796 | Yes | 1 | 93.5¢ | $1 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 4 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4c68…7fab | No | 1 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8461…1aaf | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play