Market
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narcissuspool0x85f9…fa39 | No | 10 | 52.7¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xce83…5b97 | No | 0 | 96.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.79 per $100 · 495 bets |
| mathacec0x3d60…6df2 | No | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | — |
| bZk0Uo0x138b…0467 | Yes | 6,273 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.61 per $100 · 1,541 bets |
| Fltlps0xe9f0…cfcb | Yes | 2,581 | 4.0¢ | $0 | New26 settled bets |
| cryptodebil0x2305…04f2 | Yes | 1,393 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$13.25 per $100 · 515 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 1,036 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 800 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| MrYanDao0x468b…68a5 | Yes | 661 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 2,638 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 490 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| tsilvestri0x616b…cf7b | Yes | 305 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5274…1fe4 | Yes | 284 | 8.4¢ | $0 | New29 settled bets |
| 0x6160…7f02 | Yes | 208 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| GekkeHenkie230x5c3a…d4f4 | Yes | 110 | 23.2¢ | $0 | New27 settled bets |
| 0x2bc90xa550…da41 | Yes | 80 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TheReapingJudge0x224c…ee07 | Yes | 30 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | 22 | 6.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0617…d993 | Yes | 21 | 25.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x59bc…1968 | Yes | 16 | 77.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.52 per $100 · 110 bets |
| Nek-30x0cb7…c911 | Yes | 11 | 70.5¢ | $0 | New50 settled bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| 0x96e9…c01d | Yes | 10 | 31.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$22.02 per $100 · 121 bets |
| joekozinskie0xf5f9…d886 | Yes | 9 | 11.7¢ | $0 | — |
| lopskirapta0xdb6b…31af | Yes | 5 | 23.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd556…942d | Yes | 5 | 54.7¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| coatrack0xb94e…eed6 | Yes | 3 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9c25…1fa6 | Yes | 3 | 76.1¢ | $0 | — |
| YakushMilosh0xefb4…d98b | Yes | 2 | 76.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.