Market · 3 of 15 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 35,395 | 78.3¢ | $35.3K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| THEELK0x4e24…2926 | No | 6,701 | 97.6¢ | $6.68K | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 6,235 | 97.2¢ | $6.21K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| gangwarharshit0xaad0…f61d | No | 5,000 | 96.9¢ | $4.98K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 4,280 bets |
| Navigator770x3e3d…d674 | No | 4,077 | 99.7¢ | $4.06K | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 2,295 | 52.2¢ | $2.29K | Losing−$8.17 per $100 · 163,834+ bets · updating |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 2,199 | 81.1¢ | $2.19K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 1,674 | 82.7¢ | $1.67K | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,493 | 84.9¢ | $1.49K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| AkarshitGangwar0x7c69…5aeb | No | 1,439 | 96.3¢ | $1.43K | — |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | No | 1,318 | 84.8¢ | $1.31K | — |
| -Yang-0x43a6…8b32 | No | 945 | 78.8¢ | $942 | Proven+$7.81 per $100 · 425 bets |
| TCBY66880x5ab3…43ab | No | 860 | 97.9¢ | $857 | — |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | No | 821 | 97.6¢ | $819 | — |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 652 | 99.5¢ | $650 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,954 bets |
| TinaGoat0x6bc7…c4a9 | No | 543 | 83.8¢ | $541 | Losing−$5.44 per $100 · 4,988 bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 533 | 85.2¢ | $532 | — |
| brown-boy0x8285…9e0d | No | 515 | 97.2¢ | $514 | — |
| wmart.pty0xb03a…7dc8 | No | 505 | 99.1¢ | $503 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 412 | 95.1¢ | $411 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 395 | 91.6¢ | $394 | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 380 | 98.8¢ | $379 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,614 bets |
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | No | 373 | 98.7¢ | $371 | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| btfrs0xd175…bb3a | No | 328 | 62.7¢ | $327 | — |
| chet0100x914e…dea4 | No | 321 | 98.7¢ | $320 | — |
| dovetail0x1025…7e11 | No | 300 | 61.2¢ | $299 | — |
| LiMoon0xf3fa…6a9e | No | 266 | 99.0¢ | $265 | — |
| Possums0xc250…8d6e | No | 265 | 86.8¢ | $264 | — |
| AthalWard7770x2420…3989 | No | 253 | 99.0¢ | $252 | — |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 235 | 85.8¢ | $235 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 1,858 bets |
| EVPLUS.AI0x2277…6604 | No | 232 | 99.0¢ | $231 | Break-even+$0.05 per $100 · 28,292+ bets · updating |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 209 | 57.8¢ | $209 | — |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | No | 204 | 83.8¢ | $203 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| bernarmadov0xb454…9b90 | No | 185 | 79.2¢ | $184 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 180 | 80.9¢ | $179 | — |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 39,447 | 16.0¢ | $138 | Proven+$8.64 per $100 · 551 bets |
| drip00x7479…fbec | No | 100 | 42.0¢ | $100 | Proven+$7.59 per $100 · 369 bets |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me0x4cdb…172c | No | 91 | 99.5¢ | $91 | — |
| ngfn1760x07e5…4b14 | No | 75 | 97.2¢ | $75 | — |
| Arnayt0xc251…a5d3 | No | 72 | 84.0¢ | $72 | — |
| tomok0xa289…b412 | No | 71 | 98.8¢ | $71 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 61 | 83.6¢ | $61 | — |
| CampruCali0x0404…4719 | No | 60 | 99.3¢ | $60 | — |
| 0xe35b…b542 | No | 60 | 84.0¢ | $60 | — |
| blackforgex0xa3e1…7787 | No | 55 | 97.5¢ | $55 | — |
| akazipper0xc398…9c7f | No | 55 | 90.6¢ | $55 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 51 | 79.9¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| DW10x8041…fc83 | No | 50 | 85.0¢ | $50 | — |
| gogogoglod0x9448…bf0d | No | 42 | 80.2¢ | $42 | — |
| neverbuypredict0x0be3…35fe | No | 41 | 97.4¢ | $41 | — |
| lukapol0xe935…3991 | No | 33 | 53.8¢ | $33 | — |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 8,000 | 2.6¢ | $28 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| shaillakhani0x1476…ec90 | Yes | 7,813 | 24.3¢ | $27 | — |
| Fltlps0xe9f0…cfcb | Yes | 6,392 | 2.8¢ | $22 | New26 settled bets |
| cryptodebil0x2305…04f2 | Yes | 2,000 | 3.0¢ | $7 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 1,999 | 2.2¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| wAliens0xddae…52c4 | Yes | 1,736 | 9.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x0070…90ac | Yes | 1,603 | 32.7¢ | $6 | — |
| Garibaldi43b0x97bc…30cd | Yes | 1,148 | 46.7¢ | $4 | — |
| brunoviedma0xfd18…0e39 | Yes | 1,010 | 11.8¢ | $4 | — |
| iagoWFLD0xa813…04fb | Yes | 965 | 25.4¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.58 per $100 · 481 bets |
| 0x2f88…dfd3 | Yes | 926 | 17.8¢ | $3 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 869 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| cyfra0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | 810 | 6.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.21 per $100 · 2,740 bets |
| anna0030xe044…e14c | Yes | 652 | 11.0¢ | $2 | New22 settled bets |
| ingsincelejo0xdb45…697d | Yes | 550 | 19.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xef24…a44d | Yes | 550 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| atoutlemonde0xec34…d61e | Yes | 500 | 0.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 6,142 bets |
| justsun1110x1be7…5a0c | Yes | 393 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Mynamer10x054a…f218 | Yes | 310 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9762…a5c2 | Yes | 259 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| t26260x4b02…7d08 | Yes | 200 | 22.2¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 200 | 24.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| jcy890x2a01…9b9f | Yes | 200 | 13.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0990…f36f | Yes | 171 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 136 | 17.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| yunos0x399b…35cd | Yes | 100 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TheBigSuccess0xdf87…2974 | Yes | 90 | 44.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xeba3…4392 | Yes | 85 | 11.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Untruth55040x6389…6c5e | Yes | 84 | 12.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdc7f…2f05 | Yes | 69 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| goodmax0x38f2…232e | Yes | 68 | 15.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7845…6775 | Yes | 43 | 24.2¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 38 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 38 | 8.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| Ulamorawa0x7809…536b | Yes | 34 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| b1urberry0x1df4…dd14 | Yes | 30 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| QuantumLeapy0x8ead…f333 | Yes | 30 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 29 | 32.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Nek-30x0cb7…c911 | Yes | 29 | 46.7¢ | $0 | — |
| bZk0Uo0x138b…0467 | Yes | 22 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| danh0xbe26…e02a | Yes | 21 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Kubrick0xf24f…15b2 | Yes | 20 | 21.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · Oct 1 · 32 events · $824K in play