Market · 4 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| woshiLimpeh0x2e4d…f703 | No | 27,495 | 30.8¢ | $12.5K | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 445 bets |
| dezzired0x9a5b…c6c1 | Yes | 12,200 | 45.9¢ | $6.65K | — |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 9,058 | 75.9¢ | $4.94K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| KKreturn0xaabb…0ac6 | Yes | 8,015 | 70.1¢ | $4.37K | — |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 5,951 | 79.0¢ | $3.24K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 6,132 | 53.3¢ | $2.79K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| Predictandbreathe0x2707…0afa | No | 5,000 | 47.5¢ | $2.27K | Losing−$3.24 per $100 · 3,219 bets |
| lovedudley0xfe94…8a3d | No | 5,000 | 9.0¢ | $2.27K | Positive+$10.30 per $100 · 4,160 bets |
| hack-vc0xdb1b…efb5 | No | 5,000 | 58.2¢ | $2.27K | — |
| Prpapepfpv.Pol10xfff1…ed1f | Yes | 4,001 | 41.1¢ | $2.18K | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | Yes | 3,939 | 82.3¢ | $2.15K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 3,690 | 62.1¢ | $2.01K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 3,856 | 60.7¢ | $1.75K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| milevskiy0x841d…6ef3 | Yes | 3,120 | 45.7¢ | $1.7K | — |
| Big-Bet-Yuko0xaf7b…dd49 | No | 3,641 | 41.3¢ | $1.66K | — |
| dolbosos0xae50…dc83 | Yes | 3,021 | 48.0¢ | $1.65K | — |
| footbeton0xed91…1de7 | Yes | 2,956 | 50.7¢ | $1.61K | — |
| asdfasdfxs0x9b5b…4a17 | No | 3,409 | 32.8¢ | $1.55K | Positive+$9.30 per $100 · 909 bets |
| escobar20x259d…9ff7 | Yes | 2,638 | 49.7¢ | $1.44K | — |
| 0x815d…8648 | No | 2,507 | 49.1¢ | $1.14K | Losing−$12.43 per $100 · 130 bets |
| 0x9231…2212 | No | 2,398 | 41.3¢ | $1.09K | Losing−$6.63 per $100 · 174 bets |
| espaldota0x1962…e1f0 | Yes | 2,000 | 44.0¢ | $1.09K | — |
| shizzle990xa2c9…9c10 | Yes | 1,850 | 53.8¢ | $1.01K | — |
| randomlypunting0xaec3…22df | Yes | 1,743 | 76.3¢ | $950 | Losing−$5.00 per $100 · 1,379 bets |
| WeedMann900x32ea…105d | No | 2,000 | 36.8¢ | $910 | — |
| PhongLeXBT0xe94b…5abe | No | 1,687 | 24.7¢ | $768 | — |
| Poopek0x8b2d…67b3 | Yes | 1,328 | 65.6¢ | $724 | — |
| KongX0xede1…7dd1 | Yes | 1,202 | 49.7¢ | $655 | Positive+$5.57 per $100 · 774 bets |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | 1,192 | 43.9¢ | $650 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| negrebun0x139f…1464 | Yes | 1,160 | 44.7¢ | $632 | — |
| runnon0x830b…a55b | Yes | 1,153 | 69.5¢ | $628 | — |
| Rhabarberbarbarbar0x55e2…5fc9 | Yes | 1,079 | 57.7¢ | $588 | — |
| Frg230xf11d…e072 | Yes | 1,000 | 41.0¢ | $545 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,046 | 31.9¢ | $476 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 1,000 | 57.0¢ | $455 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| 0x0719…8413 | No | 991 | 50.1¢ | $451 | — |
| lee8860x8cc8…f1b3 | No | 926 | 55.7¢ | $421 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | 768 | 55.1¢ | $419 | — |
| lud0manchik0x1cb4…0425 | Yes | 700 | 62.0¢ | $382 | — |
| 0x8888…0b39 | Yes | 624 | 85.1¢ | $340 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 24,526 bets |
| gogogodoit0xf956…7b9c | Yes | 536 | 57.7¢ | $292 | — |
| debil2280xd6ac…fb20 | No | 602 | 29.4¢ | $274 | — |
| maizi06010xe4e6…4bd4 | Yes | 500 | 67.0¢ | $272 | — |
| nibbio10x08cb…d5aa | No | 574 | 17.1¢ | $261 | — |
| NNNNNobita0x37a1…6691 | No | 557 | 37.5¢ | $253 | — |
| Anontrader810x0fa3…df33 | No | 534 | 42.8¢ | $243 | — |
| 0x1330…b4b5 | No | 500 | 47.7¢ | $228 | Proven+$9.36 per $100 · 630 bets |
| emffg0x3cad…6fea | No | 500 | 48.7¢ | $228 | — |
| armagedonn0xb4be…2309 | No | 500 | 22.1¢ | $228 | — |
| dudelikemeow0xa8d6…4a00 | Yes | 400 | 50.2¢ | $218 | New22 settled bets |
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | 400 | 56.7¢ | $218 | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
| TinaGoat0x6bc7…c4a9 | Yes | 393 | 61.7¢ | $214 | Losing−$5.44 per $100 · 4,988 bets |
| 0xe35b…b542 | No | 430 | 36.6¢ | $196 | — |
| drip00x7479…fbec | No | 400 | 15.0¢ | $182 | Proven+$7.59 per $100 · 369 bets |
| 0xb6c6…043d | Yes | 334 | 74.9¢ | $182 | — |
| zhouyudadudu0x1534…9c16 | Yes | 304 | 67.5¢ | $165 | — |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | Yes | 300 | 68.0¢ | $164 | — |
| mallesenkiy0xd1d1…de32 | Yes | 300 | 50.0¢ | $164 | — |
| askeladdforever0x78ad…63c7 | Yes | 296 | 69.0¢ | $162 | — |
| ggnida0x58ab…216e | Yes | 265 | 48.5¢ | $144 | — |
| tudulu0x2698…a979 | No | 300 | 22.2¢ | $137 | — |
| aestheted0x28ad…b2d3 | No | 300 | 21.5¢ | $137 | — |
| 0x1b14…3996 | Yes | 233 | 60.2¢ | $127 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | Yes | 220 | 83.7¢ | $120 | — |
| mdmdd0x5df0…754c | Yes | 217 | 70.0¢ | $118 | — |
| 0x6ff5…aa7b | No | 247 | 57.6¢ | $112 | — |
| arii0x3a32…562e | Yes | 200 | 69.5¢ | $109 | Losing−$8.97 per $100 · 256 bets |
| Romiche220x7ed0…9c4f | Yes | 200 | 67.9¢ | $109 | Proven+$7.56 per $100 · 3,291 bets |
| yejudb0xce5e…3e6e | No | 235 | 10.0¢ | $107 | — |
| 0xzi0xe871…8ae7 | No | 222 | 46.7¢ | $101 | — |
| Aptekar0xed36…e096 | No | 222 | 46.7¢ | $101 | Losing−$6.20 per $100 · 160 bets |
| 0xa783…0a48 | Yes | 185 | 56.9¢ | $101 | — |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | No | 200 | 31.5¢ | $91 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| sweetbox0xd610…a87f | Yes | 156 | 68.4¢ | $85 | — |
| road21000xb2ed…2a85 | Yes | 150 | 61.7¢ | $82 | — |
| Bucovina0x9196…c311 | No | 180 | 32.7¢ | $82 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 169 | 22.1¢ | $77 | Losing−$8.72 per $100 · 137,798+ bets · updating |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 140 | 69.4¢ | $76 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| TearsInTheRain0xd2f6…cbf3 | No | 154 | 42.1¢ | $70 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 150 | 10.6¢ | $68 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| onlyupcapital0x40e4…6ef7 | Yes | 123 | 52.2¢ | $67 | — |
| 0x02d2…f6e6 | No | 142 | 36.9¢ | $64 | — |
| Marvis0x62ff…b5b8 | No | 132 | 39.6¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x3784…61d2 | No | 130 | 24.5¢ | $59 | — |
| Nyam0x019c…b424 | Yes | 100 | 54.7¢ | $55 | — |
| 0x06c2…7bad | Yes | 100 | 51.7¢ | $55 | — |
| AAA11100x0c01…797d | No | 118 | 25.3¢ | $54 | Losing−$41.13 per $100 · 168 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 113 | 56.5¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| AnnaKur0xf2c3…0b5e | No | 110 | 39.1¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x7a23…0f1d | No | 104 | 50.1¢ | $47 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 100 | 56.7¢ | $46 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 13,909 bets |
| vxxxxv0xadd0…df58 | No | 100 | 36.6¢ | $46 | — |
| Albedo000x160d…6f25 | No | 91 | 27.3¢ | $41 | Losing−$6.18 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 69 | 57.3¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| alijbee0x1874…594f | Yes | 32 | 54.6¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 259 bets |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 12 | 51.5¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.