Market · 5 of 15 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Oct 1 · 32 events · $824K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 69,408 | 93.8¢ | $69.3K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 5,566 | 77.6¢ | $5.56K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| 0x3fd0…0022 | No | 4,059 | 97.4¢ | $4.05K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 223 bets |
| gangwarharshit0xaad0…f61d | No | 3,914 | 93.6¢ | $3.91K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 4,280 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 3,454 | 99.5¢ | $3.45K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,952 bets |
| GoodLuck688860x2858…119d | No | 2,676 | 97.1¢ | $2.67K | — |
| LiMoon0xf3fa…6a9e | No | 2,129 | 95.9¢ | $2.13K | — |
| TCBY66880x5ab3…43ab | No | 1,892 | 95.5¢ | $1.89K | — |
| chet0100x914e…dea4 | No | 1,740 | 96.7¢ | $1.74K | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,573 | 92.2¢ | $1.57K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| nicoco0xf25d…9d7a | No | 1,006 | 99.5¢ | $1K | — |
| Doomster0x5aa2…d7d0 | No | 698 | 99.7¢ | $697 | — |
| lan0080xd4f5…b743 | No | 591 | 99.0¢ | $590 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 547 | 90.9¢ | $546 | — |
| Riskhtaker0x1af5…ed83 | No | 510 | 99.0¢ | $510 | — |
| promt0x4ce9…70d7 | No | 501 | 99.8¢ | $500 | — |
| nearping0xf16f…9f16 | No | 488 | 99.6¢ | $487 | — |
| berisdera0x219e…93e9 | No | 420 | 99.5¢ | $419 | — |
| tomok0xa289…b412 | No | 407 | 98.5¢ | $407 | — |
| frenkilousa0x54a9…51de | No | 401 | 99.4¢ | $400 | — |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 381 | 94.0¢ | $381 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 1,858 bets |
| ray11220x8eeb…a4d1 | No | 300 | 99.8¢ | $300 | — |
| TinaGoat0x6bc7…c4a9 | No | 288 | 69.3¢ | $287 | Losing−$5.44 per $100 · 4,988 bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 250 | 92.2¢ | $250 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 200 | 39.0¢ | $200 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| lueagzil0x7389…9b89 | No | 200 | 99.2¢ | $200 | Losing−$4.66 per $100 · 512 bets |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 160 | 75.6¢ | $160 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 141 | 98.4¢ | $140 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| alexleewang0x2c5c…d7c9 | No | 120 | 99.8¢ | $120 | — |
| good.luck0x751d…a1a9 | No | 110 | 91.4¢ | $110 | — |
| MrAnderson820x7c56…9337 | No | 108 | 99.8¢ | $108 | — |
| 12YTYT0xf11a…be18 | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $100 | — |
| aarson0x0258…13bf | No | 100 | 88.5¢ | $100 | — |
| r00tsec0x5cca…6633 | No | 90 | 92.6¢ | $90 | — |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | No | 88 | 89.4¢ | $88 | — |
| Vane0x4552…0333 | No | 85 | 78.0¢ | $85 | — |
| ngfn1760x07e5…4b14 | No | 61 | 94.0¢ | $61 | — |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 50 | 91.9¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,614 bets |
| QuantumLeapy0x8ead…f333 | No | 45 | 77.7¢ | $45 | — |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| fhfjgh80xc934…94e4 | No | 37 | 98.9¢ | $37 | — |
| fgjgk90x320d…0b66 | No | 36 | 98.9¢ | $36 | — |
| fgjuyi100x7733…07f8 | No | 36 | 99.0¢ | $36 | — |
| 0xee41…bc83 | No | 35 | 99.6¢ | $35 | — |
| ckuoyo100x0180…d2e6 | No | 34 | 99.0¢ | $34 | — |
| cgkujh70xc0b0…825e | No | 34 | 98.9¢ | $34 | — |
| ghkuy60xd8fe…b3cd | No | 34 | 98.9¢ | $34 | — |
| gkuoo50xdc21…1c0f | No | 34 | 98.9¢ | $34 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 33 | 99.8¢ | $33 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| 0xd143…83ec | Yes | 21,565 | 7.4¢ | $32 | — |
| anna0030xe044…e14c | Yes | 19,936 | 6.2¢ | $30 | New22 settled bets |
| 0x7e52…00f5 | Yes | 19,500 | 5.8¢ | $29 | — |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 7,717 | 6.6¢ | $12 | Proven+$8.66 per $100 · 548 bets |
| wAliens0xddae…52c4 | Yes | 6,872 | 8.4¢ | $10 | — |
| shaillakhani0x1476…ec90 | Yes | 6,810 | 20.2¢ | $10 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 8 | 88.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Fltlps0xe9f0…cfcb | Yes | 5,061 | 8.7¢ | $8 | New26 settled bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 3,377 | 9.3¢ | $5 | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | Yes | 2,541 | 2.9¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| cryptodebil0x2305…04f2 | Yes | 2,450 | 2.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 1,908 | 2.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 1,699 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| brunoviedma0xfd18…0e39 | Yes | 1,100 | 3.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x76d9…205a | Yes | 1,005 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| atoutlemonde0xec34…d61e | Yes | 1,005 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 6,142 bets |
| cyfra0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | 874 | 7.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.21 per $100 · 2,740 bets |
| justsun1110x1be7…5a0c | Yes | 340 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2f88…dfd3 | Yes | 326 | 14.9¢ | $0 | — |
| TheBigSuccess0xdf87…2974 | Yes | 250 | 8.8¢ | $0 | — |
| alexzew120x7d5c…4cfd | Yes | 226 | 23.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcad2…cd58 | Yes | 204 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e2e…2e52 | Yes | 163 | 31.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5274…1fe4 | Yes | 131 | 15.2¢ | $0 | — |
| jcy890x2a01…9b9f | Yes | 100 | 12.1¢ | $0 | — |
| komtan0x5bb5…abf6 | Yes | 100 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| bianrenshengW0xb7e8…9a67 | Yes | 100 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| sertvuran0xbbca…9863 | Yes | 100 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Scriptable0xe955…3b03 | Yes | 100 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| malavuran0xeea5…8f4c | Yes | 100 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| valoply0xf6f1…abbb | Yes | 50 | 34.9¢ | $0 | — |
| rayzam0xcd14…0ae7 | Yes | 36 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72d3…06cc | Yes | 34 | 8.8¢ | $0 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 34 | 5.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 84,614+ bets · updating |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 25 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa149…0c8d | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Vasya020xfd60…d0fc | Yes | 17 | 6.4¢ | $0 | — |
| chensandy0xf901…a008 | Yes | 14 | 12.3¢ | $0 | — |
| hunt1110xe833…d63b | Yes | 12 | 25.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sadfsad30x0429…4c74 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 9.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| addl120x1461…b97e | Yes | 10 | 7.9¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| kkadkd1920x5eaf…ea07 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| asdfasd11d30xd62e…dbef | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.