Market · 6 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 19,647 | 67.5¢ | $13.1K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| woshiLimpeh0x2e4d…f703 | No | 19,067 | 62.2¢ | $12.7K | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 445 bets |
| Rhabarberbarbarbar0x55e2…5fc9 | Yes | 21,143 | 41.0¢ | $7.08K | — |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 11,358 | 29.9¢ | $3.8K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| SaracensCapital20x94da…2bf1 | No | 5,114 | 67.6¢ | $3.4K | Losing−$4.10 per $100 · 294 bets |
| -Yang-0x43a6…8b32 | No | 4,938 | 60.4¢ | $3.28K | Proven+$7.81 per $100 · 425 bets |
| Predictandbreathe0x2707…0afa | No | 4,000 | 57.5¢ | $2.66K | Losing−$3.24 per $100 · 3,219 bets |
| 0xc58f…e0aa | No | 3,119 | 46.6¢ | $2.07K | — |
| KongX0xede1…7dd1 | Yes | 4,999 | 45.0¢ | $1.67K | Positive+$5.57 per $100 · 774 bets |
| escobar20x259d…9ff7 | Yes | 4,365 | 31.4¢ | $1.46K | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 3,991 | 39.7¢ | $1.34K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| andrez0xd561…9b7b | No | 1,940 | 46.8¢ | $1.29K | — |
| JustMaybee0xa3fa…af3a | No | 1,723 | 59.7¢ | $1.15K | — |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 1,612 | 48.1¢ | $1.07K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| emffg0x3cad…6fea | No | 1,597 | 64.1¢ | $1.06K | — |
| KKreturn0xaabb…0ac6 | Yes | 3,090 | 40.5¢ | $1.04K | — |
| hqb.prediction0x76ec…d630 | Yes | 3,072 | 42.7¢ | $1.03K | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 1,081 | 63.3¢ | $719 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| Money3220xa0e1…b9b4 | Yes | 2,088 | 41.6¢ | $700 | — |
| satoshiua0xacca…08b1 | Yes | 2,000 | 50.0¢ | $670 | — |
| LucasMeow0x7f3c…5613 | No | 1,000 | 54.2¢ | $665 | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 208 bets |
| hack-vc0xdb1b…efb5 | No | 1,000 | 72.0¢ | $665 | — |
| bigdickprick0x8735…46e5 | Yes | 1,971 | 64.6¢ | $660 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 928 | 61.3¢ | $617 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| honk750x5651…66a6 | No | 910 | 67.9¢ | $605 | Losing−$4.03 per $100 · 1,521 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 896 | 63.4¢ | $596 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| 0x2638…44c2 | Yes | 1,714 | 36.6¢ | $574 | — |
| gdfgdgddss0x9bde…e6cc | No | 854 | 68.4¢ | $568 | New27 settled bets |
| fanat1c1sm0x7df8…8e9d | Yes | 1,473 | 44.7¢ | $494 | — |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | 1,428 | 39.0¢ | $478 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| 0x7a23…0f1d | No | 649 | 68.0¢ | $432 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,227 | 38.6¢ | $411 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| lao66660xefca…b420 | No | 600 | 41.0¢ | $399 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | 1,168 | 38.3¢ | $391 | — |
| NostraMus0xba0f…ce35 | No | 550 | 56.7¢ | $366 | — |
| gogogodoit0xf956…7b9c | Yes | 1,078 | 38.7¢ | $361 | — |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 500 | 58.0¢ | $333 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| Berkaja0xb392…fc73 | Yes | 986 | 47.0¢ | $330 | Losing−$20.38 per $100 · 624 bets |
| shizzle990xa2c9…9c10 | Yes | 734 | 40.1¢ | $246 | — |
| 0x8888…0b39 | Yes | 612 | 42.5¢ | $205 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 24,526 bets |
| On9Chasiu0xa8d6…af94 | No | 300 | 76.3¢ | $200 | — |
| 67gambah670xbc32…8d7f | No | 300 | 65.0¢ | $200 | — |
| AshBlade70x6d93…ed60 | Yes | 595 | 39.6¢ | $199 | — |
| maizi06010xe4e6…4bd4 | Yes | 594 | 42.7¢ | $199 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 293 | 58.5¢ | $195 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0xb6c6…043d | Yes | 501 | 43.2¢ | $168 | — |
| bernarmadov0xb454…9b90 | No | 252 | 58.9¢ | $167 | — |
| LesMeGo0x4163…521c | No | 248 | 63.9¢ | $165 | — |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 468 | 33.9¢ | $157 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 201 | 64.2¢ | $134 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| gandur40x2dc6…eeb3 | Yes | 387 | 36.6¢ | $130 | — |
| TinaGoat0x6bc7…c4a9 | No | 195 | 47.0¢ | $130 | Losing−$5.44 per $100 · 4,988 bets |
| wakakakakakaka0xe9c7…147a | Yes | 342 | 37.6¢ | $114 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 740 bets |
| dovetail0x1025…7e11 | No | 160 | 61.0¢ | $107 | — |
| 245080x0129…f939 | Yes | 300 | 35.6¢ | $101 | New92 settled bets |
| nibbio10x08cb…d5aa | No | 147 | 39.0¢ | $98 | — |
| Arnayt0xc251…a5d3 | No | 143 | 62.7¢ | $95 | — |
| TearsInTheRain0xd2f6…cbf3 | No | 141 | 58.3¢ | $94 | — |
| lthasd0x7d9f…0c25 | No | 130 | 59.7¢ | $86 | — |
| AdjudantD0xf498…39a1 | No | 123 | 74.6¢ | $82 | — |
| sweetbox0xd610…a87f | Yes | 238 | 45.4¢ | $80 | — |
| 0xe35b…b542 | No | 118 | 38.0¢ | $78 | — |
| ghostviolet0x3da6…9ac4 | No | 113 | 71.1¢ | $75 | — |
| 0xa783…0a48 | No | 105 | 39.2¢ | $70 | — |
| tudulu0x2698…a979 | Yes | 200 | 34.5¢ | $67 | — |
| OneIsAll.0xa557…5e8a | Yes | 200 | 47.0¢ | $67 | — |
| shuishen02030xf9d8…ff32 | Yes | 200 | 34.0¢ | $67 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 93 | 56.0¢ | $62 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| khhhhhh0x5963…cc39 | No | 85 | 60.7¢ | $56 | — |
| Speaker-NancyPelosi0xc109…450b | No | 80 | 59.7¢ | $53 | — |
| pizdi.bolyu0x27b9…90d0 | Yes | 157 | 39.6¢ | $53 | — |
| TheManInTheSky0x4bc2…597a | Yes | 153 | 42.3¢ | $51 | — |
| AboveLookUp0xe720…137c | Yes | 150 | 35.6¢ | $50 | — |
| trader-8dc13adf0x8dc1…c34a | No | 75 | 53.0¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x886e…b9be | No | 74 | 55.7¢ | $49 | Proven+$4.94 per $100 · 125 bets |
| FaucetWiki0x8aac…0e7a | No | 73 | 62.7¢ | $48 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 3,494 bets |
| onlyupcapital0x40e4…6ef7 | No | 69 | 64.4¢ | $46 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 69 | 74.4¢ | $46 | — |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 66 | 55.0¢ | $44 | — |
| No-897570x37a1…6691 | Yes | 127 | 33.5¢ | $43 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 122 | 40.9¢ | $41 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| bitddkio0x96f9…faba | Yes | 122 | 30.9¢ | $41 | — |
| 0x10e8…c707 | Yes | 121 | 24.9¢ | $40 | — |
| nibbio20x0e10…0d5c | No | 57 | 43.7¢ | $38 | — |
| lukapol0xe935…3991 | No | 56 | 62.4¢ | $37 | — |
| Nyam0x019c…b424 | Yes | 100 | 40.7¢ | $34 | — |
| heymanwhatareu0x1422…92d5 | Yes | 100 | 27.7¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x4760…936f | Yes | 100 | 45.9¢ | $34 | New57 settled bets |
| bigcryptobet0xb37b…da0c | No | 50 | 59.0¢ | $33 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | 98 | 41.9¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| mkoodka0xc925…767c | Yes | 96 | 28.4¢ | $32 | — |
| barrdoujs0xb416…6788 | Yes | 94 | 37.4¢ | $31 | — |
| 0x26fb…2268 | Yes | 84 | 38.6¢ | $28 | — |
| knnuyhdq0x9286…2e11 | Yes | 74 | 33.4¢ | $25 | — |
| JoshMax0x3094…32e2 | Yes | 72 | 39.0¢ | $24 | — |
| caph0xeb12…d2b1 | No | 31 | 60.2¢ | $21 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.