Market · 12 of 15 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 34,673 | 96.5¢ | $34.7K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| Candela0x8611…d340 | No | 15,000 | 99.9¢ | $15K | — |
| beatyesterday0x7789…a280 | No | 13,072 | 97.9¢ | $13.1K | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,244 bets |
| YautjaPM20x34e8…065d | No | 10,000 | 99.9¢ | $9.99K | — |
| Facaie0xf70e…81df | No | 4,952 | 99.3¢ | $4.95K | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 2,104 bets |
| Glennraven0xafc5…741f | No | 3,500 | 99.9¢ | $3.5K | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 2,942 | 97.8¢ | $2.94K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,292 | 97.2¢ | $1.29K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| nearping0xf16f…9f16 | No | 899 | 99.8¢ | $899 | — |
| hdai298yf98763husfishfu84ksdskph0x5716…bbf6 | No | 384 | 99.7¢ | $384 | — |
| yang3yu0xae2e…f8b2 | No | 271 | 99.8¢ | $270 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 235 | 97.3¢ | $235 | — |
| 12YTYT0xf11a…be18 | No | 200 | 99.8¢ | $200 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 122 | 99.2¢ | $122 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| Kitahara0xae4b…fd5b | No | 51 | 98.4¢ | $51 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 31 | 99.6¢ | $31 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| harlynmorris0xefb6…0b78 | No | 24 | 98.1¢ | $24 | — |
| morkovnyysok0xb5ab…f29a | No | 23 | 98.4¢ | $23 | — |
| levibutler0x4af6…66c9 | No | 23 | 98.4¢ | $23 | — |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 39,723 | 2.8¢ | $20 | Proven+$8.64 per $100 · 551 bets |
| 0x2c9b…9e33 | No | 16 | 95.6¢ | $16 | — |
| cbinglish0xabf9…c7da | No | 15 | 99.8¢ | $15 | — |
| ehinbon0xf52f…e9b4 | No | 15 | 99.8¢ | $15 | — |
| dbgiwop0xfa54…2261 | No | 15 | 99.8¢ | $15 | — |
| QuantumLeapy0x8ead…f333 | No | 15 | 97.0¢ | $15 | — |
| CrytoBotRD0xfb32…0035 | No | 11 | 89.7¢ | $11 | — |
| cdimoper0x10f0…5c84 | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| dellanber0x60c7…fbfa | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| ebapternw0x7841…1f38 | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| baggogle0xbd65…6b9c | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| cdinopq0x2017…6b11 | No | 9 | 99.8¢ | $9 | — |
| cryptodebil0x2305…04f2 | Yes | 11,086 | 1.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x70b8…ec6c | No | 5 | 96.5¢ | $5 | — |
| trader-93173b860x9317…5a5f | No | 5 | 98.2¢ | $5 | — |
| GageZ-Agent0x88af…4cbc | No | 5 | 97.3¢ | $5 | — |
| JehanneDarc0x737e…de01 | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | — |
| fghty60x8279…c74e | No | 5 | 98.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa8cd…7b25 | No | 5 | 97.6¢ | $5 | — |
| wAliens0xddae…52c4 | Yes | 6,060 | 4.6¢ | $3 | — |
| libra080x5dbf…8cbe | No | 3 | 97.6¢ | $3 | — |
| branchcrystal0x591c…ab3a | No | 3 | 99.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Starfruit50x18f7…d19e | No | 3 | 98.9¢ | $3 | — |
| chensandy0xf901…a008 | No | 3 | 97.3¢ | $3 | — |
| paynelauren0x7e68…013f | No | 3 | 99.5¢ | $3 | — |
| practical50xf2b5…5f5a | No | 3 | 99.6¢ | $3 | — |
| Protocollavender0xcd99…0949 | No | 3 | 98.4¢ | $3 | — |
| scotch630xa66e…9c57 | No | 2 | 97.3¢ | $2 | — |
| pasqualehyatt960x45ab…46f4 | No | 2 | 98.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Diegoasian00x3418…ebfc | No | 2 | 98.5¢ | $2 | — |
| each10x3831…6663 | No | 2 | 97.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Fltlps0xe9f0…cfcb | Yes | 4,058 | 2.6¢ | $2 | New26 settled bets |
| vdSERJIO0xae1c…77e7 | Yes | 3,675 | 3.3¢ | $2 | New41 settled bets |
| hvhjv0x36cd…06c7 | Yes | 3,409 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| UlixesMaximus0xa10e…0ddf | Yes | 2,977 | 4.4¢ | $1 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 1,979 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| pohozhenadodep0xbac9…ca59 | Yes | 1,884 | 11.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 1,481 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| 0x9e2e…2e52 | Yes | 1,252 | 10.9¢ | $1 | — |
| justsun1110x1be7…5a0c | Yes | 1,000 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| olegs0x6e2c…b7f8 | Yes | 995 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.21 per $100 · 5,279 bets |
| atoutlemonde0xec34…d61e | Yes | 990 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 6,142 bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | Yes | 802 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 690 | 7.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| Zazs0x2a94…219f | Yes | 555 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| testingjp0x8592…c329 | Yes | 500 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed3e…6f2d | Yes | 428 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7845…6775 | Yes | 418 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| bZk0Uo0x138b…0467 | Yes | 376 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| anna0030xe044…e14c | Yes | 375 | 9.2¢ | $0 | New22 settled bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 363 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| KomboS0x8858…bca5 | Yes | 293 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0b87…8fc2 | Yes | 247 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| IBSI0xe918…dd23 | Yes | 243 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4c08…fbb1 | Yes | 206 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Ontilt000xd859…38c5 | Yes | 200 | 8.6¢ | $0 | — |
| clumber0x7bd7…400e | Yes | 116 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Cryptos24x70x063d…35c7 | Yes | 93 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 89 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 80 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| debrawatts0x3249…01eb | Yes | 79 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 73 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| 0xa149…0c8d | Yes | 45 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 40 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ManakeMega0x4176…fd86 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 1 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · Oct 1 · 32 events · $824K in play