Market · 8 of 15 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 19,198 | 90.6¢ | $18.4K | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 24,716 bets |
| gangwarharshit0xaad0…f61d | No | 5,000 | 90.0¢ | $4.79K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 4,330 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 1,419 | 95.4¢ | $1.36K | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,493 bets |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | No | 1,120 | 95.0¢ | $1.07K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 14,291 | 11.4¢ | $593 | Proven+$8.33 per $100 · 567 bets |
| Gambler6650xc281…e079 | No | 500 | 95.6¢ | $479 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 322 | 95.8¢ | $309 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,811 bets |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | No | 315 | 95.6¢ | $302 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 6,210 | 9.5¢ | $258 | Proven+$3.32 per $100 · 32,725 bets |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 220 | 93.7¢ | $211 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,862 bets |
| tomok0xa289…b412 | No | 210 | 96.8¢ | $201 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 3,995 | 5.7¢ | $166 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,864 bets |
| vdSERJIO0xae1c…77e7 | Yes | 2,853 | 5.5¢ | $118 | New41 settled bets |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me0x4cdb…172c | No | 98 | 94.4¢ | $94 | Losing−$1.04 per $100 · 2,710 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 84 | 95.8¢ | $81 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 20,815 bets |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 59 | 90.0¢ | $57 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 16,592 bets |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | Yes | 1,312 | 4.9¢ | $54 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 53 | 89.5¢ | $50 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| ngfn1760x07e5…4b14 | No | 52 | 90.6¢ | $50 | New70 settled bets |
| DW10x8041…fc83 | No | 50 | 94.4¢ | $48 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 1,076 bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | Yes | 849 | 5.2¢ | $35 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 6,969 bets |
| AQERR180x2271…8c48 | No | 35 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| ARETRV170x2b27…5480 | No | 35 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| A5T5GBY190xf295…d296 | No | 35 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| ads200x0049…a5ca | No | 35 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| A5HTD150xa645…ae68 | No | 35 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| AEE3R0210x32e9…263f | No | 34 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| AGNFF160x4b4b…f776 | No | 34 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| AVHBRT240x8949…b53b | No | 34 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| AHYB220x9b09…1d34 | No | 34 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| ABNMHN140xf26a…64a2 | No | 34 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| ABJHY0230xd0bc…6322 | No | 34 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| AEWQRFV260x312d…f0b0 | No | 34 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| AHGJNT270xf8fb…310a | No | 34 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| AHJNT0250xde70…fed6 | No | 34 | 95.3¢ | $33 | — |
| gu6utg010xfb5c…34a9 | No | 34 | 96.3¢ | $32 | — |
| ABMN0500IY120x16e1…24e6 | No | 33 | 96.3¢ | $32 | — |
| ACVG280xca93…0160 | No | 33 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| aSERT590x8896…d0ff | No | 33 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| AGHGG290xefb0…82c2 | No | 33 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| AGHTRH300xe853…e235 | No | 33 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| aZXCB690x1f2a…7309 | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 125 bets |
| BRYERH200x1518…3e89 | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 127 bets |
| ads800x1c0c…14fa | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | Losing−$3.43 per $100 · 126 bets |
| aFRGYU900x50e3…d998 | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 128 bets |
| abhkjk490xcbd9…609c | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| aCVBGT700xe287…ccee | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| BYUGNA100xece9…b274 | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| aLOPU790x11a2…2938 | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 126 bets |
| BRWHE90x1736…3460 | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | Losing−$1.58 per $100 · 124 bets |
| aHJYTG890x8787…2e26 | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| aFJTHD990xb49d…eb6d | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| BJLKGGS190x714d…d9bf | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | Losing−$1.67 per $100 · 126 bets |
| aFHFHTG1000x9aee…77ec | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| aFGRT500xac7f…25cd | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| aQWEF600xb38a…7b60 | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | $31 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 547 | 4.7¢ | $23 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x76d9…205a | Yes | 200 | 6.3¢ | $8 | Positive+$115.31 per $100 · 125 bets |
| testingjp0x8592…c329 | Yes | 200 | 6.2¢ | $8 | — |
| Elgagl0x9176…3ad0 | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $4 | — |
| brunoviedma0xfd18…0e39 | Yes | 48 | 4.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Vasya020xfd60…d0fc | Yes | 17 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | Yes | 10 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 7,693 bets |
| I7370x9d5a…572c | Yes | 10 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Gnimon0x8b11…65f8 | Yes | 8 | 12.7¢ | $0 | — |
| kx360x049b…5a12 | Yes | 6 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$101.70 per $100 · 305 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · Oct 12 · 2 events · $123K in play