Market · 8 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 33,939 | 76.2¢ | $27.3K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 17,557 | 74.0¢ | $14.1K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804 | Yes | 21,500 | 25.5¢ | $4.19K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 1,559 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 5,063 | 81.1¢ | $4.08K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| shizzle990xa2c9…9c10 | No | 5,039 | 74.3¢ | $4.06K | — |
| WilliamNaka0x18b0…af4a | No | 4,753 | 78.2¢ | $3.83K | — |
| -Yang-0x43a6…8b32 | No | 4,543 | 75.6¢ | $3.66K | Proven+$7.81 per $100 · 425 bets |
| 0xa613…1bf9 | Yes | 15,000 | 27.0¢ | $2.92K | New99 settled bets |
| 0xe617…f251 | No | 3,488 | 86.8¢ | $2.81K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| Big-Bet-Yuko0xaf7b…dd49 | No | 3,197 | 83.0¢ | $2.57K | — |
| Morpheus.pump0xeee8…7e06 | No | 3,197 | 76.7¢ | $2.57K | — |
| emffg0x3cad…6fea | No | 3,042 | 77.3¢ | $2.45K | — |
| hack-vc0xdb1b…efb5 | No | 3,000 | 81.0¢ | $2.41K | — |
| 0xbc0c…441c | No | 2,900 | 78.5¢ | $2.33K | — |
| fish89753440xdf4a…e8a3 | Yes | 10,000 | 20.0¢ | $1.95K | — |
| KongX0xede1…7dd1 | Yes | 10,000 | 31.2¢ | $1.95K | Positive+$5.57 per $100 · 774 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 1,800 | 76.7¢ | $1.45K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| bbpro10x35fa…2bd4 | Yes | 7,000 | 22.0¢ | $1.36K | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 493 bets |
| dddsssfff0x088d…82f9 | No | 1,536 | 75.5¢ | $1.24K | — |
| escobar20x259d…9ff7 | Yes | 5,401 | 22.8¢ | $1.05K | — |
| Berkaja0xb392…fc73 | Yes | 5,000 | 23.0¢ | $975 | Losing−$20.38 per $100 · 624 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 1,200 | 75.0¢ | $966 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,123 | 75.3¢ | $904 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| GabiFP0x65d4…b7e3 | No | 1,117 | 81.7¢ | $899 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 1,116 | 78.3¢ | $899 | — |
| WilT0xd6b6…af8b | No | 1,000 | 83.0¢ | $805 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 3,859 | 27.6¢ | $752 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| On9Chasiu0xa8d6…af94 | No | 924 | 81.1¢ | $744 | — |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | No | 835 | 68.5¢ | $672 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| samuraicoco0x939c…ad45 | Yes | 3,357 | 29.8¢ | $655 | Losing−$1.85 per $100 · 101 bets |
| 245080x0129…f939 | Yes | 3,292 | 23.9¢ | $642 | New92 settled bets |
| lao66660xefca…b420 | No | 585 | 67.0¢ | $471 | — |
| PippiTrader0x403f…94f1 | No | 500 | 73.7¢ | $402 | Proven+$3.81 per $100 · 7,495 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 478 | 78.0¢ | $385 | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 400 | 76.4¢ | $322 | — |
| gogogodoit0xf956…7b9c | Yes | 1,600 | 26.3¢ | $312 | — |
| 0x765f…1508 | No | 356 | 72.2¢ | $287 | — |
| Prinas0x3032…99e7 | No | 353 | 85.8¢ | $284 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 353 | 80.1¢ | $284 | — |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | 1,372 | 29.5¢ | $268 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 331 | 75.6¢ | $267 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| FlatEarther690x5c98…ef88 | Yes | 1,360 | 23.5¢ | $265 | — |
| honk750x5651…66a6 | No | 328 | 62.7¢ | $264 | Losing−$4.03 per $100 · 1,521 bets |
| 0x275c…c276 | No | 321 | 82.3¢ | $258 | — |
| 67gambah670xbc32…8d7f | No | 300 | 76.5¢ | $242 | — |
| Possums0xc250…8d6e | No | 300 | 79.2¢ | $242 | — |
| BigSmoke6000x79e8…aa83 | Yes | 1,230 | 35.9¢ | $240 | — |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | 270 | 82.2¢ | $218 | — |
| Lihazazs0x1ec6…7edb | Yes | 1,017 | 23.9¢ | $198 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 259 bets |
| chaoticgod0xffea…06c0 | Yes | 1,017 | 23.9¢ | $198 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 316 bets |
| nibbio10x08cb…d5aa | No | 245 | 73.9¢ | $197 | — |
| brainrotMaxxer0xe004…cce7 | Yes | 833 | 19.7¢ | $162 | — |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 200 | 84.0¢ | $161 | — |
| Speaker-NancyPelosi0xc109…450b | No | 200 | 75.3¢ | $161 | — |
| AshBlade70x6d93…ed60 | Yes | 808 | 30.4¢ | $158 | — |
| bernarmadov0xb454…9b90 | No | 195 | 75.3¢ | $157 | — |
| 0xb6c6…043d | Yes | 795 | 27.9¢ | $155 | — |
| shuishen02030xf9d8…ff32 | Yes | 729 | 25.3¢ | $142 | — |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me0x4cdb…172c | Yes | 700 | 20.0¢ | $137 | — |
| lisa670x5768…08fd | Yes | 698 | 25.0¢ | $136 | — |
| TearsInTheRain0xd2f6…cbf3 | No | 138 | 73.7¢ | $111 | — |
| 0x4f0a…2765 | Yes | 552 | 17.0¢ | $108 | — |
| Bronzi0xc5fa…9795 | No | 132 | 77.3¢ | $106 | — |
| zzyyaa9920xeaec…e6f6 | Yes | 520 | 33.5¢ | $101 | — |
| har-gow0xbb8e…2bee | Yes | 513 | 30.8¢ | $100 | New87 settled bets |
| AdjudantD0xf498…39a1 | No | 121 | 83.4¢ | $98 | — |
| 0x8888…0b39 | Yes | 491 | 29.2¢ | $96 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 24,526 bets |
| 0xa783…0a48 | No | 114 | 72.0¢ | $92 | — |
| 0x2d75…4e46 | No | 100 | 83.4¢ | $81 | — |
| sh7770xea3a…f78e | No | 100 | 78.0¢ | $81 | — |
| okx-uot0x134e…d718 | No | 100 | 68.0¢ | $80 | — |
| OneIsAll.0xa557…5e8a | Yes | 400 | 28.0¢ | $78 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 381 | 25.4¢ | $74 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| 3iron0xd03b…042b | No | 89 | 73.0¢ | $71 | — |
| MMI0xfe14…1a10 | Yes | 355 | 28.5¢ | $69 | — |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 322 | 20.1¢ | $63 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 78 | 76.0¢ | $63 | — |
| 11makoko0xafed…6be5 | No | 75 | 75.9¢ | $60 | — |
| nibbio20x0e10…0d5c | Yes | 218 | 30.3¢ | $43 | — |
| 0x7875…e0ef | Yes | 217 | 24.2¢ | $42 | — |
| 0x4760…936f | Yes | 200 | 28.5¢ | $39 | New57 settled bets |
| 0x2b18…d620 | Yes | 200 | 17.0¢ | $39 | — |
| nokainoday0xdd02…e9af | Yes | 182 | 28.3¢ | $36 | — |
| caph0xeb12…d2b1 | No | 44 | 74.8¢ | $35 | — |
| SiliconVandal0x4616…6565 | Yes | 161 | 28.6¢ | $31 | — |
| CipherHound0x12ce…8919 | Yes | 160 | 28.0¢ | $31 | — |
| 0x7d93…fdef | Yes | 157 | 38.1¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 12,555 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | Yes | 157 | 23.6¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| wakakakakakaka0xe9c7…147a | Yes | 153 | 24.5¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 740 bets |
| AJTRADER840x0401…aad0 | Yes | 152 | 25.3¢ | $30 | — |
| DevZen0x1ca7…f62a | Yes | 151 | 23.2¢ | $29 | — |
| imnotkkwus0x3b11…a02d | Yes | 151 | 25.3¢ | $29 | — |
| jy-010x8a48…08c5 | Yes | 151 | 25.3¢ | $29 | — |
| bythewhay0xf505…c2fe | Yes | 151 | 24.6¢ | $29 | — |
| EchoForest0xfd2a…a44d | Yes | 151 | 24.6¢ | $29 | — |
| CarbonatedMind0xb86c…7a3c | Yes | 150 | 33.1¢ | $29 | — |
| yuyuyuyuyu70xdf17…6a3d | Yes | 140 | 31.2¢ | $27 | — |
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | 40 | 18.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.