Market · 13 of 15 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 33,348 | 97.0¢ | $33.3K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 24,268 bets |
| beatyesterday0x7789…a280 | No | 15,020 | 98.7¢ | $15K | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,244 bets |
| ZeinST0xb7cd…6827 | No | 11,995 | 99.9¢ | $12K | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 2,942 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 6,000 | 98.9¢ | $6K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| Facaie0xf70e…81df | No | 3,274 | 99.3¢ | $3.27K | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 2,104 bets |
| nearping0xf16f…9f16 | No | 3,000 | 99.7¢ | $3K | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,514 | 98.3¢ | $1.51K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| Xgs0x9473…3b20 | No | 1,426 | 98.8¢ | $1.43K | — |
| olegs0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | 995 | 99.0¢ | $995 | Break-even−$0.21 per $100 · 5,279 bets |
| lueagzil0x7389…9b89 | No | 705 | 98.2¢ | $705 | Losing−$4.66 per $100 · 512 bets |
| bZk0Uo0x138b…0467 | No | 376 | 94.7¢ | $376 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 340 | 97.3¢ | $339 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 260 | 97.1¢ | $260 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 90 | 97.9¢ | $90 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Chuggo10x409d…d5ee | No | 65 | 98.9¢ | $65 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 31 | 99.7¢ | $31 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| bogdannazarov0xd21e…d645 | No | 27 | 99.0¢ | $27 | — |
| a2care9t0x23df…a45b | No | 21 | 99.5¢ | $21 | — |
| xajbtin0xc850…e44b | No | 21 | 99.5¢ | $21 | — |
| keepmove10x0f58…2d8f | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| pencilboy60xd2dc…4648 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| wasehid0x5c1f…0a86 | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| yearlinth0xe003…c8fe | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| bvwring0x30c0…10e2 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | — |
| Wolfgold0xc7bb…6987 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| zhanabover0x35db…71a6 | No | 18 | 99.5¢ | $18 | — |
| ace7ehath0x6432…c20d | No | 17 | 99.5¢ | $17 | — |
| visthnnow0xfe9e…d5e7 | No | 17 | 99.5¢ | $17 | — |
| mountingo0x5e24…7740 | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| manneltop0xd7aa…b3fc | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| unineget0xa0af…875b | No | 15 | 99.5¢ | $15 | — |
| binnahe0x2892…d351 | No | 15 | 99.8¢ | $15 | — |
| QuantumLeapy0x8ead…f333 | No | 15 | 95.8¢ | $15 | — |
| ideaveryg0x2f61…7ece | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| highmount10x4239…2e65 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| picleknilg0xa1a2…0c6f | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 24,800 | 1.8¢ | $12 | Proven+$8.79 per $100 · 547 bets |
| opentreepp0xfacb…f441 | No | 12 | 99.1¢ | $12 | — |
| jobeasymm0x11d7…a5d0 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| goodbay70x8934…f005 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| oeafloor80xbf27…a321 | No | 11 | 99.1¢ | $11 | — |
| noodleren0x75cd…3868 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| nosekingfo0x8e00…2293 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| tebogent0xb364…dcac | No | 10 | 99.5¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x76d9…205a | Yes | 19,801 | 1.3¢ | $10 | — |
| anna0030xe044…e14c | Yes | 16,041 | 4.4¢ | $8 | New22 settled bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 5 | 95.3¢ | $5 | — |
| druj0xfd4c…0c20 | No | 5 | 96.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x70b8…ec6c | No | 4 | 96.9¢ | $4 | — |
| rhaegus0x5b08…7cb9 | No | 4 | 97.9¢ | $4 | — |
| justsun1110x1be7…5a0c | Yes | 6,172 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Jonasschroeder47060x4668…1890 | No | 3 | 98.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 4,148 | 1.5¢ | $2 | Proven+$13.75 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 1,999 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| Nickolay19870x8c34…0b3d | Yes | 1,525 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Zazs0x2a94…219f | Yes | 909 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7845…6775 | Yes | 822 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| atoutlemonde0xec34…d61e | Yes | 725 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 6,142 bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 700 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| 0xc7b8…ac34 | Yes | 476 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| KomboS0x8858…bca5 | Yes | 364 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Bednar80x3b1a…cae9 | Yes | 201 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed3e…6f2d | Yes | 194 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa149…0c8d | Yes | 43 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 18 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 3 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · Oct 1 · 32 events · $824K in play