Market · 8 of 13 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Oct 12 · 2 events · $123K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 13,881 | 96.7¢ | $13.6K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 24,564 bets |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | No | 1,024 | 97.9¢ | $1K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| nearping0xf16f…9f16 | No | 1,000 | 97.5¢ | $982 | — |
| beatyesterday0x7789…a280 | No | 450 | 97.7¢ | $442 | Losing−$1.58 per $100 · 1,251 bets |
| sixming0x12d7…cf4b | No | 380 | 97.0¢ | $373 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 419 bets |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | No | 303 | 97.5¢ | $297 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 11,006 | 3.8¢ | $204 | Proven+$8.35 per $100 · 564 bets |
| shitwon0x2165…8075 | No | 188 | 97.0¢ | $185 | Positive+$1.88 per $100 · 340 bets |
| minde20x134d…1da2 | No | 130 | 97.5¢ | $128 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 409 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 97 | 96.3¢ | $96 | Losing−$8.21 per $100 · 84,469+ bets · updating |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | Yes | 3,713 | 2.6¢ | $69 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 3,609 | 2.3¢ | $67 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| Chuggo10x409d…d5ee | No | 65 | 98.4¢ | $64 | Break-even−$0.04 per $100 · 604 bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 50 | 98.1¢ | $49 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,811 bets |
| 0xa17b…fce0 | No | 40 | 98.9¢ | $39 | — |
| ghkyh70x05f4…9584 | No | 38 | 97.8¢ | $37 | New60 settled bets |
| vgjcgh60x0cf4…ec82 | No | 38 | 98.0¢ | $37 | New60 settled bets |
| fgjgk90x320d…0b66 | No | 38 | 97.4¢ | $37 | New58 settled bets |
| rtuty40x3e25…568c | No | 38 | 98.0¢ | $37 | New66 settled bets |
| ghlui60x506d…ecc4 | No | 37 | 97.4¢ | $36 | New56 settled bets |
| fgjuyi100x7733…07f8 | No | 37 | 97.4¢ | $36 | New61 settled bets |
| gytfk70xc919…a79e | No | 37 | 98.0¢ | $36 | — |
| fhfjgh80xc934…94e4 | No | 37 | 97.4¢ | $36 | — |
| utrg0xc452…e2aa | No | 37 | 97.4¢ | $36 | — |
| AHHJFGo90x235d…8c86 | No | 37 | 97.9¢ | $36 | Losing−$6.54 per $100 · 123 bets |
| gjfuy90x716b…1745 | No | 36 | 97.9¢ | $35 | New62 settled bets |
| cvjh50x9a4e…97b0 | No | 36 | 98.0¢ | $35 | — |
| gfjjju80xe691…42fb | No | 36 | 97.9¢ | $35 | — |
| fgmj60x6341…f0bc | No | 36 | 97.8¢ | $35 | New58 settled bets |
| gjghk100x98d6…7d79 | No | 36 | 97.9¢ | $35 | — |
| dhfj20x8004…a2de | No | 36 | 97.9¢ | $35 | New74 settled bets |
| gkuoo50xdc21…1c0f | No | 36 | 97.4¢ | $35 | — |
| ckuoyo100x0180…d2e6 | No | 35 | 97.4¢ | $34 | New62 settled bets |
| cnhg60x0787…af30 | No | 35 | 97.9¢ | $34 | New60 settled bets |
| hkuoy90x0c23…65f2 | No | 35 | 97.4¢ | $34 | New58 settled bets |
| ffgjh20x1592…5ee4 | No | 35 | 97.4¢ | $34 | — |
| vhkk90x1b21…188c | No | 35 | 97.8¢ | $34 | New63 settled bets |
| hgkt40x269d…0044 | No | 35 | 97.4¢ | $34 | — |
| ghku40x2854…fb9e | No | 35 | 97.8¢ | $34 | New66 settled bets |
| junh0x3000…783d | No | 35 | 97.9¢ | $34 | New87 settled bets |
| vhgjkj80x51e7…2d76 | No | 35 | 98.0¢ | $34 | New61 settled bets |
| fgu70x6773…bbca | No | 35 | 97.9¢ | $34 | — |
| vjghk80x7e72…47d2 | No | 35 | 97.9¢ | $34 | New60 settled bets |
| mjhgk70x86cd…2f78 | No | 35 | 97.9¢ | $34 | — |
| ghkkk50x932e…7c58 | No | 35 | 97.8¢ | $34 | — |
| gjghi30xa514…88c6 | No | 35 | 97.4¢ | $34 | — |
| fgkgk90xacbf…cfad | No | 35 | 97.9¢ | $34 | — |
| cgkujh70xc0b0…825e | No | 35 | 97.4¢ | $34 | — |
| ghkuy60xd8fe…b3cd | No | 35 | 97.4¢ | $34 | — |
| dtyu30xe8ff…704b | No | 35 | 97.8¢ | $34 | — |
| fjyt30x1aca…c548 | No | 34 | 98.0¢ | $33 | — |
| ghkuf40x30b8…d464 | No | 34 | 98.0¢ | $33 | — |
| junfg0x39d4…323b | No | 34 | 98.0¢ | $33 | — |
| ezm0neyhere0x658b…01b8 | Yes | 767 | 2.2¢ | $14 | Losing−$25.34 per $100 · 389 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 571 | 2.8¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.32 per $100 · 32,725 bets |
| 0xe35b…b542 | Yes | 512 | 2.4¢ | $9 | — |
| atoutlemonde0xec34…d61e | Yes | 500 | 2.7¢ | $9 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 6,142 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 375 | 2.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| IBSI0xe918…dd23 | Yes | 334 | 3.2¢ | $6 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | Yes | 230 | 2.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 6,969 bets |
| Saray1610xd45d…dc3f | Yes | 208 | 2.6¢ | $4 | — |
| Cryptos24x70x063d…35c7 | Yes | 120 | 2.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$10.59 per $100 · 2,176 bets |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 5 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 1 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.87 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.