Market · 10 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 41,918 | 84.2¢ | $36.7K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | No | 16,283 | 84.2¢ | $14.2K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Marioy0x66ad…cc4e | No | 10,000 | 87.8¢ | $8.75K | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 460 bets |
| dogerfad0x6cb2…99a3 | No | 8,000 | 77.3¢ | $7K | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 37,628 | 18.0¢ | $4.7K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| -Yang-0x43a6…8b32 | No | 5,077 | 87.8¢ | $4.44K | Proven+$7.81 per $100 · 425 bets |
| 5509660xd629…5942 | Yes | 23,913 | 12.5¢ | $2.99K | — |
| Morpheus.pump0xeee8…7e06 | No | 3,397 | 83.6¢ | $2.97K | — |
| 0xe617…f251 | No | 3,371 | 89.7¢ | $2.95K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| randod0xdc2e…9704 | No | 3,000 | 86.0¢ | $2.63K | — |
| emffg0x3cad…6fea | No | 2,936 | 88.8¢ | $2.57K | — |
| 0xce83…5b97 | No | 2,330 | 86.7¢ | $2.04K | — |
| GabiFP0x65d4…b7e3 | No | 1,853 | 86.0¢ | $1.62K | — |
| Prinas0x3032…99e7 | No | 1,764 | 87.3¢ | $1.54K | — |
| hqb.prediction0x76ec…d630 | Yes | 11,909 | 17.5¢ | $1.49K | — |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 1,651 | 86.0¢ | $1.44K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 1,580 | 81.9¢ | $1.38K | — |
| Berkaja0xb392…fc73 | Yes | 10,000 | 13.0¢ | $1.25K | Losing−$20.38 per $100 · 624 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,373 | 85.4¢ | $1.2K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me0x4cdb…172c | No | 1,273 | 83.2¢ | $1.11K | — |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 8,838 | 14.8¢ | $1.1K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| Manhohoho0xd800…c256 | No | 1,232 | 89.7¢ | $1.08K | — |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | 1,179 | 87.1¢ | $1.03K | — |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | No | 1,000 | 84.0¢ | $875 | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| 0xd5e3…e379 | No | 1,000 | 88.8¢ | $875 | — |
| toss.0x3177…f2ab | Yes | 6,085 | 15.7¢ | $761 | — |
| dddsssfff0x088d…82f9 | No | 735 | 79.5¢ | $643 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 646 | 86.5¢ | $566 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| yorkshire0xff03…2a65 | Yes | 4,012 | 19.9¢ | $501 | — |
| Speaker-NancyPelosi0xc109…450b | No | 562 | 88.9¢ | $492 | — |
| AnonTet0xca29…287f | No | 500 | 80.0¢ | $438 | — |
| PippiTrader0x403f…94f1 | No | 500 | 85.1¢ | $437 | Proven+$3.81 per $100 · 7,495 bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 473 | 85.9¢ | $413 | — |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 3,153 | 12.7¢ | $394 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| henribloc0x68e8…c464 | No | 353 | 85.9¢ | $309 | — |
| luansha1780x0fe5…06ce | Yes | 2,143 | 14.8¢ | $268 | — |
| sh7770xea3a…f78e | No | 300 | 84.0¢ | $263 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 271 | 87.0¢ | $237 | — |
| 0x4450…086c | No | 235 | 85.9¢ | $206 | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | Yes | 1,645 | 23.9¢ | $206 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 1,477 | 15.2¢ | $185 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 4567458670x8f99…08e7 | No | 201 | 87.6¢ | $176 | — |
| gogogodoit0xf956…7b9c | Yes | 1,404 | 15.1¢ | $175 | — |
| CriptoDadz0x1264…31e5 | No | 200 | 83.0¢ | $175 | — |
| luckdog0x6995…99f9 | No | 200 | 82.0¢ | $175 | — |
| lueagzil0x7389…9b89 | No | 200 | 89.0¢ | $175 | Losing−$4.66 per $100 · 512 bets |
| 0x2d75…4e46 | No | 169 | 87.6¢ | $148 | — |
| 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | 169 | 89.7¢ | $147 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 14,833 bets |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | No | 158 | 85.5¢ | $138 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| BAANUK0x9ed6…2322 | Yes | 936 | 14.8¢ | $117 | — |
| bernarmadov0xb454…9b90 | No | 127 | 86.2¢ | $111 | — |
| knyzh0xbada…fe22 | No | 115 | 87.8¢ | $101 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 114 | 85.1¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| brainrotMaxxer0xe004…cce7 | Yes | 794 | 13.6¢ | $99 | — |
| XAUseell0xde08…9d62 | Yes | 760 | 17.9¢ | $95 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 106 | 88.7¢ | $93 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| Guizzz0x26b5…ae60 | Yes | 714 | 14.8¢ | $89 | New26 settled bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 100 | 82.0¢ | $88 | — |
| bigcryptobet0xb37b…da0c | No | 100 | 87.0¢ | $88 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| RATHMA40xf9ac…806e | No | 100 | 87.0¢ | $88 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 87 | 86.7¢ | $76 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| kreoooooe0x04ce…c645 | No | 83 | 87.6¢ | $72 | — |
| grass770xe1b9…842a | No | 71 | 84.9¢ | $63 | — |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 71 | 87.6¢ | $63 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 1,858 bets |
| 0x76d9…205a | Yes | 500 | 15.7¢ | $63 | — |
| MrManning0xda14…a40c | No | 70 | 86.3¢ | $61 | — |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 400 | 20.1¢ | $50 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| AJTRADER840x0401…aad0 | Yes | 380 | 13.8¢ | $48 | — |
| JoshMax0x3094…32e2 | Yes | 215 | 13.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x26fb…2268 | Yes | 214 | 14.8¢ | $27 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 27 | 89.7¢ | $24 | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 84,614+ bets · updating |
| nibbio20x0e10…0d5c | Yes | 150 | 19.7¢ | $19 | — |
| jjon8180x1353…ce63 | Yes | 130 | 21.1¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x8888…0b39 | Yes | 106 | 18.9¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 24,526 bets |
| Nickolay19870x8c34…0b3d | Yes | 102 | 20.7¢ | $13 | — |
| PingAn-ME30x5391…f8e1 | Yes | 100 | 13.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Newuserlove550x7ebe…5966 | Yes | 100 | 12.7¢ | $13 | — |
| arishone0x88a1…a17b | Yes | 100 | 14.8¢ | $13 | Losing−$9.19 per $100 · 1,434 bets |
| 0x946a…a9e5 | Yes | 100 | 14.8¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xae46…1125 | Yes | 83 | 12.7¢ | $10 | — |
| Bris8080x49f1…9348 | Yes | 74 | 13.8¢ | $9 | — |
| mejortao0xbbac…fc80 | Yes | 73 | 16.0¢ | $9 | — |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 55 | 13.7¢ | $7 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| 0x3196…ac9c | Yes | 41 | 12.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Valentiniy0xbe41…80cd | Yes | 36 | 14.8¢ | $4 | — |
| WinnerCamus0x1443…dfd4 | Yes | 29 | 14.8¢ | $4 | — |
| mpa170xfffa…3fe0 | Yes | 24 | 14.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2532…62ea | Yes | 23 | 22.2¢ | $3 | — |
| guoguo6020xb794…3c6d | Yes | 17 | 12.7¢ | $2 | — |
| hamed.gh0x13a2…5e27 | Yes | 14 | 14.8¢ | $2 | — |
| nzkzmoto0x4808…042f | Yes | 14 | 14.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1b6a…c357 | Yes | 14 | 10.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc47c…642e | Yes | 11 | 13.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Wchamp0xc094…9b61 | Yes | 11 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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