Market · 11 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 23,979 | 90.4¢ | $22.2K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| Marioy0x66ad…cc4e | No | 10,000 | 91.0¢ | $9.25K | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 460 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 5,941 | 91.4¢ | $5.5K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| 0xe617…f251 | No | 5,435 | 92.5¢ | $5.03K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| gangwarharshit0xaad0…f61d | No | 5,000 | 88.2¢ | $4.63K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 4,280 bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | No | 4,625 | 92.6¢ | $4.28K | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 343 bets |
| MielVdB0x1ff8…de3e | No | 4,119 | 86.8¢ | $3.81K | — |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 3,098 | 91.4¢ | $2.87K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| -Yang-0x43a6…8b32 | No | 2,821 | 90.8¢ | $2.61K | Proven+$7.81 per $100 · 425 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 2,617 | 90.4¢ | $2.42K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| vvmm0xd09b…78e9 | No | 2,235 | 90.1¢ | $2.07K | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 1,543 | 88.4¢ | $1.43K | — |
| Morpheus.pump0xeee8…7e06 | No | 1,522 | 92.1¢ | $1.41K | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,514 | 90.6¢ | $1.4K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| Prinas0x3032…99e7 | No | 1,245 | 90.3¢ | $1.15K | — |
| 0xce83…5b97 | No | 1,177 | 85.9¢ | $1.09K | — |
| Manhohoho0xd800…c256 | No | 1,112 | 92.1¢ | $1.03K | — |
| Mirotadze0xb462…fc89 | No | 1,100 | 88.7¢ | $1.02K | — |
| Fantadong0x9352…33fa | No | 1,000 | 94.4¢ | $925 | — |
| 0xd5e3…e379 | No | 1,000 | 94.4¢ | $925 | — |
| Berkaja0xb392…fc73 | Yes | 10,000 | 8.0¢ | $750 | Losing−$20.38 per $100 · 624 bets |
| Alexandre-OlivierExquemelin0x3bef…62a4 | No | 758 | 91.0¢ | $701 | — |
| ViperTradesYT0x8107…e0e6 | Yes | 8,838 | 8.5¢ | $663 | — |
| Money3220xa0e1…b9b4 | Yes | 8,230 | 9.5¢ | $617 | — |
| 0xa613…1bf9 | Yes | 7,367 | 14.8¢ | $553 | New99 settled bets |
| henribloc0x68e8…c464 | No | 588 | 85.9¢ | $544 | — |
| GabiFP0x65d4…b7e3 | No | 581 | 86.8¢ | $538 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 6,475 | 14.0¢ | $486 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| MirAsifAhr0x9437…e75f | No | 505 | 91.6¢ | $467 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 552 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 5,735 | 7.4¢ | $430 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| hqb.prediction0x76ec…d630 | Yes | 5,724 | 10.5¢ | $429 | — |
| 4201b10xff4c…ea1e | No | 450 | 92.0¢ | $416 | — |
| lueagzil0x7389…9b89 | No | 400 | 92.0¢ | $370 | Losing−$4.66 per $100 · 512 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 396 | 89.7¢ | $367 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| 245080x0129…f939 | Yes | 4,653 | 10.5¢ | $349 | New92 settled bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 363 | 90.9¢ | $336 | — |
| PippiTrader0x403f…94f1 | No | 323 | 84.8¢ | $299 | Proven+$3.81 per $100 · 7,495 bets |
| Bronzi0xc5fa…9795 | No | 323 | 93.5¢ | $298 | — |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | 3,736 | 12.5¢ | $280 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| 4567458670x8f99…08e7 | No | 301 | 93.1¢ | $278 | — |
| jojo11010x83b3…cce9 | No | 300 | 91.0¢ | $278 | — |
| luckystrike0xffb1…573e | No | 300 | 93.5¢ | $278 | — |
| WillFS0x22d3…c969 | Yes | 3,500 | 16.0¢ | $262 | — |
| luansha1780x0fe5…06ce | Yes | 3,333 | 9.6¢ | $250 | — |
| FakeLove20250x3112…c69e | Yes | 3,000 | 9.6¢ | $225 | — |
| 0x4450…086c | No | 235 | 85.9¢ | $218 | — |
| 64360xb44d…2e7d | No | 225 | 91.1¢ | $208 | — |
| bbpro10x35fa…2bd4 | Yes | 2,500 | 9.6¢ | $188 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 493 bets |
| fathom.fyi0x187f…a85b | No | 203 | 92.5¢ | $187 | — |
| 0x7532…2a88 | No | 200 | 92.5¢ | $185 | — |
| liceOfNice0x83f0…6ff5 | Yes | 2,126 | 10.0¢ | $159 | — |
| omegagm0x4b10…4629 | Yes | 1,960 | 8.5¢ | $147 | — |
| bernarmadov0xb454…9b90 | No | 153 | 94.4¢ | $142 | — |
| Sharky69990x751a…9ea1 | No | 153 | 83.6¢ | $142 | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | No | 137 | 89.2¢ | $126 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 122 | 92.7¢ | $112 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 1,858 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 1,421 | 7.2¢ | $107 | Proven+$8.66 per $100 · 548 bets |
| Mirko3680x2160…c5fe | No | 109 | 92.5¢ | $101 | — |
| bigcryptobet0xb37b…da0c | No | 100 | 92.5¢ | $93 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| Hall-ex0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | 1,209 | 7.1¢ | $91 | New45 settled bets |
| ngfn1760x07e5…4b14 | No | 90 | 89.3¢ | $83 | — |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 89 | 92.0¢ | $82 | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| 0x96e4…8566 | No | 87 | 95.6¢ | $80 | — |
| xmrisreal0xfb61…2eda | Yes | 1,030 | 9.6¢ | $77 | — |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 1,000 | 12.7¢ | $75 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 77 | 86.7¢ | $71 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| A15ThePredator0x5cc4…b4f2 | Yes | 825 | 8.0¢ | $62 | — |
| 0x8888…0b39 | Yes | 784 | 9.3¢ | $59 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 24,526 bets |
| kreoooooe0x04ce…c645 | No | 61 | 90.6¢ | $57 | — |
| AndrianoLamo0x3486…49ee | Yes | 667 | 15.9¢ | $50 | — |
| ffcff0xe781…4d87 | Yes | 633 | 13.7¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x13d6…5cc7 | Yes | 333 | 9.6¢ | $25 | — |
| Wintech0010xd142…6233 | Yes | 328 | 15.9¢ | $25 | — |
| Newuserlove550x7ebe…5966 | Yes | 325 | 8.5¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x7d93…fdef | Yes | 300 | 12.9¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 12,555 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 295 | 8.2¢ | $22 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| metatron-8030xcb40…965d | Yes | 251 | 9.6¢ | $19 | — |
| ssaha0x3d7b…a81b | Yes | 250 | 8.5¢ | $19 | — |
| kulcrypto0xaeee…f065 | Yes | 250 | 8.5¢ | $19 | — |
| kastetem0xc427…6f4d | Yes | 235 | 10.7¢ | $18 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 474 bets |
| BigSmoke6000x79e8…aa83 | Yes | 230 | 12.4¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x89bf…a70a | Yes | 219 | 17.3¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xb6c6…043d | No | 17 | 88.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x2b18…d620 | Yes | 200 | 8.5¢ | $15 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 188 | 8.9¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| 0x3ef6…7082 | Yes | 157 | 13.8¢ | $12 | — |
| nibbio20x0e10…0d5c | Yes | 150 | 11.7¢ | $11 | — |
| Nickolay19870x8c34…0b3d | Yes | 137 | 15.5¢ | $10 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 114 | 8.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| 0x76d9…205a | Yes | 100 | 9.6¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x26fb…2268 | Yes | 100 | 10.6¢ | $8 | — |
| Flexmoneydrizzle0x927b…8091 | Yes | 100 | 9.6¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 84 | 8.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| fengwuchangyi0x1e4b…7e4e | Yes | 62 | 8.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Akubank0xdd57…adaa | Yes | 57 | 10.6¢ | $4 | — |
| Anagkazo0x8a41…6eca | Yes | 52 | 11.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Farhad13670x520c…f17b | Yes | 43 | 7.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Mentor70x4f81…c8fd | Yes | 42 | 12.7¢ | $3 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.