Market · 15 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 49,914 | 97.0¢ | $48.8K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,220 bets |
| LucasMeow0x7f3c…5613 | No | 29,513 | 97.8¢ | $28.9K | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 208 bets |
| DOWNbet0x9ede…8bb4 | No | 12,953 | 96.4¢ | $12.7K | — |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 11,688 | 96.4¢ | $11.4K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | No | 6,094 | 96.7¢ | $5.96K | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 3,331 | 95.6¢ | $3.26K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| nearping0xf16f…9f16 | No | 3,000 | 96.6¢ | $2.94K | — |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 2,718 | 97.3¢ | $2.66K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| sunnyshine0504900x33d5…b25a | No | 2,071 | 96.8¢ | $2.03K | — |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 2,000 | 96.2¢ | $1.96K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| 0xd5e3…e379 | No | 1,300 | 96.4¢ | $1.27K | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,064 | 96.0¢ | $1.04K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| hqb.prediction0x76ec…d630 | Yes | 48,123 | 5.5¢ | $1.03K | — |
| polychar0xf1a8…178c | No | 1,037 | 96.6¢ | $1.01K | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 976 | 96.3¢ | $955 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 802 | 96.3¢ | $785 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 734 | 97.6¢ | $718 | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| 4567458670x8f99…08e7 | No | 711 | 97.0¢ | $695 | — |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | No | 677 | 96.5¢ | $663 | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| Saimiri0xa81e…ae00 | No | 613 | 96.8¢ | $600 | — |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 604 | 96.8¢ | $591 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| tangmuzhi0x23d1…50fc | No | 600 | 95.5¢ | $587 | — |
| dimitriapprado0x9ef9…2052 | Yes | 25,800 | 3.8¢ | $555 | — |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 540 | 96.5¢ | $528 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 22,515 | 3.6¢ | $484 | Proven+$8.64 per $100 · 551 bets |
| 0xb6c6…043d | No | 412 | 96.4¢ | $403 | — |
| piolho0x86b9…6d75 | No | 300 | 95.6¢ | $294 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 11,356 | 3.9¢ | $244 | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| xlwang1110x23b3…5fbf | No | 207 | 96.6¢ | $203 | — |
| lueagzil0x7389…9b89 | No | 200 | 95.0¢ | $196 | Losing−$4.66 per $100 · 512 bets |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 8,663 | 3.7¢ | $186 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| zhvjsx0x3b7d…92e7 | No | 174 | 97.8¢ | $170 | — |
| langzsz0xfd98…9b7b | No | 156 | 96.6¢ | $152 | — |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 4,903 | 3.5¢ | $105 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 97 | 96.6¢ | $95 | Losing−$6.83 per $100 · 218,095+ bets · updating |
| 0x10e8…c707 | No | 89 | 96.2¢ | $87 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 3,928 | 4.0¢ | $84 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| 245080x0129…f939 | Yes | 3,769 | 4.3¢ | $81 | New92 settled bets |
| Monologue0xac1d…110a | No | 61 | 97.9¢ | $60 | — |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 60 | 96.6¢ | $59 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 1,858 bets |
| Sato10x70a8…d968 | No | 52 | 97.1¢ | $50 | — |
| pagechuan0x2f4f…4eb4 | No | 50 | 95.6¢ | $49 | — |
| Tomas77770xf9c0…62b2 | No | 50 | 96.1¢ | $49 | — |
| lemonmina0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | 50 | 96.4¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x86f2…4a6e | No | 42 | 97.9¢ | $41 | — |
| insider420690xa95e…7be1 | Yes | 1,748 | 4.5¢ | $38 | — |
| tihonkomarov0x2cd7…2f4b | No | 31 | 96.7¢ | $30 | — |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No | 30 | 96.8¢ | $29 | — |
| lyfang0xc0db…a085 | No | 30 | 96.7¢ | $29 | — |
| diegonsalez0x1f7a…eafe | No | 28 | 97.8¢ | $28 | — |
| brandonrordi0xfd8e…01c1 | No | 28 | 97.8¢ | $28 | — |
| svorehov0xb519…43b2 | No | 27 | 97.5¢ | $26 | — |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 1,199 | 2.5¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| 0x8652…acba | No | 26 | 95.5¢ | $25 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 25 | 96.8¢ | $24 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| yanashubina0x50db…4578 | No | 23 | 96.8¢ | $23 | — |
| Greg6100x8045…5185 | No | 23 | 97.4¢ | $23 | — |
| trader-77a9a7a70x77a9…6bb5 | No | 23 | 97.9¢ | $22 | — |
| 4uyx1dfp1s010x6c57…47aa | No | 23 | 98.8¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x4c08…fbb1 | Yes | 369 | 4.1¢ | $8 | — |
| Flexmoneydrizzle0x927b…8091 | Yes | 351 | 3.6¢ | $8 | — |
| unsane20x7de7…ef81 | Yes | 350 | 3.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Ohcrap0x8212…5933 | Yes | 333 | 4.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Bris8080x49f1…9348 | Yes | 277 | 3.9¢ | $6 | — |
| JTADo0x72a6…494c | Yes | 256 | 4.2¢ | $6 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 250 | 4.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| FaucetWiki0x8aac…0e7a | Yes | 238 | 3.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 3,494 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 222 | 5.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| mpa170xfffa…3fe0 | Yes | 141 | 4.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Mentor70x4f81…c8fd | Yes | 104 | 5.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Alon8990xbfa3…6a2c | Yes | 104 | 5.1¢ | $2 | — |
| hamed.gh0x13a2…5e27 | Yes | 54 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xed3e…6f2d | Yes | 53 | 4.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Terrence19920xc094…c8d4 | Yes | 48 | 4.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| Kolobarant0x1abc…e02e | Yes | 40 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| satoshi980x5b82…7ad7 | Yes | 39 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| hunorxx0xac83…26c4 | Yes | 35 | 3.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd14d…d689 | Yes | 31 | 3.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x065e…1c9e | Yes | 29 | 3.6¢ | $1 | New0 settled bets |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 29 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| nibbio20x0e10…0d5c | Yes | 25 | 5.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 360 bets |
| 0xabc5…056d | Yes | 25 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Wchamp0xc094…9b61 | Yes | 16 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 15 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 10 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.