Market · 17 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| superblueinc0x324a…3721 | No | 100,000 | 98.0¢ | $98.7K | — |
| LucasMeow0x7f3c…5613 | No | 49,677 | 98.8¢ | $49.1K | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 208 bets |
| Dktb0x07fb…4696 | No | 18,600 | 97.0¢ | $18.4K | — |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 10,217 | 97.5¢ | $10.1K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| DOWNbet0x9ede…8bb4 | No | 7,814 | 96.8¢ | $7.72K | — |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 6,492 | 97.3¢ | $6.41K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | No | 4,570 | 97.4¢ | $4.51K | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| nearping0xf16f…9f16 | No | 4,000 | 97.0¢ | $3.95K | — |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 3,853 | 96.4¢ | $3.81K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| 245080x0129…f939 | No | 2,599 | 96.6¢ | $2.57K | New92 settled bets |
| NickChoLo0x0272…ffb0 | No | 2,536 | 95.0¢ | $2.5K | — |
| 0xd5e3…e379 | No | 2,000 | 97.0¢ | $1.98K | — |
| onenice0x03eb…ef47 | No | 1,864 | 98.2¢ | $1.84K | — |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | No | 1,588 | 96.3¢ | $1.57K | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 1,201 | 98.8¢ | $1.19K | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| sunnyshine0504900x33d5…b25a | No | 1,033 | 97.1¢ | $1.02K | — |
| EthanDeFi0x975a…359a | No | 1,016 | 98.5¢ | $1K | — |
| tl2000x2dc6…cf37 | No | 1,000 | 98.4¢ | $988 | New41 settled bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 886 | 96.1¢ | $875 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| Mashtots0xe157…51eb | Yes | 58,524 | 2.2¢ | $732 | — |
| hqb.prediction0x76ec…d630 | Yes | 57,926 | 4.9¢ | $724 | — |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 55,167 | 2.2¢ | $690 | Proven+$8.66 per $100 · 548 bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 622 | 96.1¢ | $614 | — |
| qqmupup0x5e32…3334 | No | 592 | 97.7¢ | $585 | — |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 590 | 98.0¢ | $583 | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 560 | 96.6¢ | $553 | — |
| moremoon0x724d…6022 | No | 545 | 97.4¢ | $538 | — |
| 0xmoki0xf22e…0c2c | No | 470 | 97.7¢ | $464 | — |
| Saimiri0xa81e…ae00 | No | 418 | 95.9¢ | $413 | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 400 | 97.7¢ | $395 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| 0xb6c6…043d | No | 239 | 97.1¢ | $236 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 225 | 97.8¢ | $222 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 209 | 95.8¢ | $207 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 1,858 bets |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No | 200 | 96.2¢ | $198 | — |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | No | 200 | 97.7¢ | $198 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| 64360xb44d…2e7d | No | 199 | 97.9¢ | $197 | — |
| jereryc0xb976…8092 | No | 155 | 98.3¢ | $153 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 11,234 | 2.4¢ | $140 | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 121 | 96.6¢ | $119 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| 0xcba7…f187 | No | 103 | 97.7¢ | $102 | — |
| 72char0x1d02…a02e | No | 103 | 97.3¢ | $102 | — |
| ChoiceMeteor25200xb082…5138 | No | 100 | 98.0¢ | $99 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 6,503 | 3.3¢ | $81 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| alexpegas0x3b5b…26f4 | Yes | 6,433 | 2.3¢ | $80 | — |
| 0x86f2…4a6e | No | 72 | 99.0¢ | $71 | — |
| rodcc0x4b9e…ab3f | No | 71 | 98.3¢ | $70 | — |
| LovieW0xcf62…2236 | No | 71 | 98.4¢ | $70 | — |
| Guizzz0x26b5…ae60 | Yes | 5,288 | 2.9¢ | $66 | New26 settled bets |
| leha3330x88e5…fa70 | Yes | 4,320 | 2.1¢ | $54 | — |
| Perba0x96a6…3a08 | No | 51 | 97.9¢ | $51 | — |
| bullpeeen0x1f95…31b3 | No | 46 | 98.0¢ | $45 | — |
| trader-77a9a7a70x77a9…6bb5 | No | 44 | 99.0¢ | $43 | — |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | Yes | 3,470 | 1.4¢ | $43 | — |
| trader-23b4fbcc0x23b4…8e7a | No | 43 | 99.0¢ | $43 | — |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | 2,691 | 3.8¢ | $34 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| 0x7be6…c63e | No | 31 | 98.0¢ | $30 | — |
| trader-2db90f8b0x2db9…846c | No | 30 | 99.0¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 4,342 bets |
| vitordeng3580xbd7e…875d | Yes | 2,000 | 1.6¢ | $25 | — |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.2¢ | $25 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| Kelly6150xe147…8d38 | No | 25 | 98.1¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x70b8…ec6c | No | 23 | 95.5¢ | $23 | — |
| olegs0x6e2c…b7f8 | Yes | 1,672 | 1.3¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.21 per $100 · 5,279 bets |
| Eternalsilence0xede3…5c07 | Yes | 1,200 | 1.4¢ | $15 | — |
| insider420690xa95e…7be1 | Yes | 1,198 | 3.4¢ | $15 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 15 | 98.4¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 1,012 | 1.9¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 981 | 2.1¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| JTADo0x72a6…494c | Yes | 931 | 3.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 3iron0xd03b…042b | Yes | 811 | 4.5¢ | $10 | — |
| nibbio20x0e10…0d5c | Yes | 750 | 4.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x946a…a9e5 | Yes | 535 | 4.0¢ | $7 | — |
| shangqian0xf180…f908 | Yes | 500 | 3.1¢ | $6 | — |
| huaKxian0x345e…6bc7 | Yes | 400 | 1.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Flexmoneydrizzle0x927b…8091 | Yes | 386 | 3.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xdfde…78a3 | Yes | 217 | 2.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Trumptrain3690xda72…b18a | Yes | 193 | 2.8¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 140 | 2.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.43 per $100 · 82,257+ bets · updating |
| aticool0x3cba…20c1 | Yes | 133 | 1.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Cryptos24x70x063d…35c7 | Yes | 130 | 2.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Roadto1Billion0x60b0…4a62 | Yes | 107 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| tuananh010119860x489a…e15f | Yes | 98 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | 96 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| sinnet50x1957…11d2 | Yes | 94 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 85 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| 0xed3e…6f2d | Yes | 82 | 2.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 78 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x572c…4360 | Yes | 72 | 2.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Tsubasa0xcfde…4006 | Yes | 70 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| hamed.gh0x13a2…5e27 | Yes | 59 | 3.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcd95…2c78 | Yes | 45 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa98d…017e | Yes | 38 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 26 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| Wchamp0xc094…9b61 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.