Market · 19 of 20 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 10 overlapping windows · 1 event · $2.4M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| superblueinc0x324a…3721 | No | 50,000 | 98.0¢ | $49.5K | — |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 39,768 | 98.2¢ | $39.4K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 720 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| lagex3330x04cf…5224 |
| No |
| 29,638 |
| 98.3¢ |
| $29.3K |
| — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 23,845 | 98.2¢ | $23.6K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| UPbet0x7887…2cf0 | No | 10,457 | 98.3¢ | $10.4K | — |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 5,534 | 98.0¢ | $5.48K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| nearping0xf16f…9f16 | No | 5,000 | 98.0¢ | $4.95K | — |
| EthanDeFi0x975a…359a | No | 4,419 | 98.6¢ | $4.37K | — |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | No | 4,367 | 98.0¢ | $4.32K | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| DOWNbet0x9ede…8bb4 | No | 4,205 | 98.2¢ | $4.16K | — |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 2,500 | 98.3¢ | $2.47K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| guanzhouwuyanzhu0x8c38…35d5 | No | 2,120 | 99.1¢ | $2.1K | — |
| olegs0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | 1,859 | 98.7¢ | $1.84K | Break-even−$0.21 per $100 · 5,279 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,743 | 98.0¢ | $1.73K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| moremoon0x724d…6022 | No | 1,629 | 98.3¢ | $1.61K | — |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | No | 1,503 | 98.0¢ | $1.49K | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| berlinc0x93df…c392 | No | 1,490 | 98.1¢ | $1.48K | — |
| weixin10xe175…01a1 | No | 1,391 | 97.5¢ | $1.38K | — |
| da7770x32c2…f589 | No | 1,219 | 97.2¢ | $1.21K | — |
| bhaiji0xf10c…002f | No | 1,150 | 98.0¢ | $1.14K | — |
| Saimiri0xa81e…ae00 | No | 1,127 | 98.0¢ | $1.12K | — |
| wudisjie0x9a0a…7003 | No | 1,123 | 98.9¢ | $1.11K | — |
| ql80x01da…b456 | No | 1,033 | 97.2¢ | $1.02K | — |
| sunnyshine0504900x33d5…b25a | No | 1,022 | 98.0¢ | $1.01K | — |
| pennytrader0x0bab…9eb2 | No | 1,011 | 98.5¢ | $1K | — |
| hadadisihvb0x6646…b82e | No | 1,009 | 99.2¢ | $999 | — |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 1,000 | 98.3¢ | $990 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| rekt010x6b19…3f42 | No | 1,000 | 98.0¢ | $990 | — |
| 0xd5e3…e379 | No | 1,000 | 97.9¢ | $990 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 935 | 98.5¢ | $926 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| Iannnn0xd587…d415 | No | 800 | 98.2¢ | $792 | — |
| king180x9f09…e2a1 | No | 770 | 98.0¢ | $762 | — |
| poweragain0x58f9…38a7 | No | 600 | 98.9¢ | $594 | — |
| lajiawu0x7e14…8f3a | No | 507 | 98.7¢ | $502 | — |
| E00mmer0x2a32…2db4 | No | 500 | 97.6¢ | $495 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 485 | 98.0¢ | $480 | — |
| qqmupup0x5e32…3334 | No | 463 | 98.9¢ | $458 | — |
| 0xb6c6…043d | No | 411 | 98.1¢ | $407 | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 405 | 98.6¢ | $401 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| BTC-Hunter0x50e4…fb34 | Yes | 38,896 | 1.9¢ | $389 | — |
| onenice0x03eb…ef47 | No | 300 | 98.0¢ | $297 | — |
| trerira0x18ab…bae4 | No | 300 | 97.4¢ | $297 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 179 bets |
| vdSERJIO0xae1c…77e7 | Yes | 29,153 | 2.0¢ | $292 | New41 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 28,523 | 2.1¢ | $285 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| ViperTradesYT0x8107…e0e6 | Yes | 27,219 | 2.1¢ | $272 | — |
| huantianba40x6dd9…596c | No | 253 | 98.9¢ | $251 | — |
| 0xbe1b…7597 | No | 236 | 98.5¢ | $234 | — |
| gutianleq0xaff6…9982 | No | 233 | 98.7¢ | $231 | — |
| 0x0c3b…4592 | No | 202 | 98.6¢ | $200 | — |
| trkbk20x09c0…305a | No | 200 | 98.3¢ | $198 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 124 bets |
| VortexTrading0x41c7…0df5 | No | 200 | 97.9¢ | $198 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 5,224 bets |
| Noteagle0xc2db…6865 | No | 200 | 97.9¢ | $198 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,757 bets |
| punit10xdb50…e61d | No | 200 | 98.1¢ | $198 | — |
| ffcff0xe781…4d87 | Yes | 12,798 | 2.4¢ | $128 | — |
| hqb.prediction0x76ec…d630 | Yes | 11,634 | 2.4¢ | $116 | — |
| 0x4621…ad19 | Yes | 10,109 | 2.3¢ | $101 | — |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 7,684 | 2.0¢ | $77 | Proven+$8.79 per $100 · 547 bets |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 6,779 | 2.0¢ | $68 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 24,268 bets |
| Lojtari0x7819…33e3 | Yes | 6,665 | 2.2¢ | $67 | — |
| 0xab4e…ba10 | Yes | 5,307 | 1.8¢ | $53 | — |
| 0x6ff5…aa7b | Yes | 5,251 | 1.8¢ | $53 | — |
| 69latrik0xb66e…1b8f | Yes | 5,000 | 2.1¢ | $50 | — |
| Its-Fede-win0x633b…f6e9 | Yes | 3,146 | 1.2¢ | $31 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 3,092 | 1.5¢ | $31 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| JTADo0x72a6…494c | Yes | 2,078 | 2.6¢ | $21 | — |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.8¢ | $20 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 3,504 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 1,199 | 1.3¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 1,152 | 1.7¢ | $12 | Proven+$13.75 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| taerv5340x30f9…fbfc | Yes | 1,024 | 1.6¢ | $10 | — |
| JulianHowson0x45cc…1b7f | Yes | 1,009 | 1.6¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.91 per $100 · 158 bets |
| ganggang7770x561c…730c | Yes | 785 | 2.3¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xd550…e673 | Yes | 584 | 1.7¢ | $6 | — |
| NINJA310x832b…86ee | Yes | 530 | 1.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Flexmoneydrizzle0x927b…8091 | Yes | 527 | 2.0¢ | $5 | — |
| tuananh010119860x489a…e15f | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $5 | — |
| vsss0xc07c…c4b7 | Yes | 390 | 2.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xd4db…ed4b | Yes | 337 | 2.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Hall-ex0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | 300 | 1.3¢ | $3 | New45 settled bets |
| dudunow0x0ced…9478 | Yes | 238 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb4b5…1bd4 | Yes | 238 | 2.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$10.78 per $100 · 1,476 bets |
| 0xcd95…2c78 | Yes | 200 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x065e…1c9e | Yes | 112 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| baddabingg4200x8ef4…7967 | Yes | 111 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 93 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.17 per $100 · 30,004+ bets · updating |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 91 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| hamed.gh0x13a2…5e27 | Yes | 87 | 2.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Terrence19920xc094…c8d4 | Yes | 79 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | 76 | 2.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1912…5dc7 | Yes | 55 | 2.0¢ | $1 | New61 settled bets |
| 0xed3e…6f2d | Yes | 53 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 31 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 27 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | Yes | 20 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 25 shares each side · Show
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