Market · 28 of 46 outcomes
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 07:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 1,024 | 89.9¢ | $963 | New69 settled bets |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | No | 510 | 80.3¢ | $480 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| singularityman0x8797…bbbe | No | 335 | 74.6¢ | $315 | Proven+$17.46 per $100 · 571 bets |
| Zarshka0xc1cf…9656 | No | 300 | 87.0¢ | $282 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 1,809 bets |
| DontTrustMe0x0403…a7ee | No | 128 | 68.0¢ | $120 | Proven+$26.89 per $100 · 115 bets |
| angine0x09b5…8b88 | Yes | 1,595 | 9.6¢ | $94 | Proven+$9.07 per $100 · 100 bets |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | No | 100 | 86.0¢ | $94 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| heyoguys0x37b0…3646 | No | 75 | 25.6¢ | $71 | — |
| Pikassiette0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | 38 | 94.5¢ | $36 | New0 settled bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 28 | 92.1¢ | $27 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | No | 20 | 83.6¢ | $19 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 273 | 7.8¢ | $16 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 125,579+ bets · updating |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 248 | 21.7¢ | $15 | Proven+$21.25 per $100 · 1,817 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 238 | 7.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Nenels0x5d10…b5e7 | No | 7 | 86.5¢ | $7 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 90 | 3.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 91.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 3 | 85.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,062 bets |
| 0x6045…3530 | Yes | 32 | 6.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 30 | 10.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$33.83 per $100 · 567 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 8.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 2 | 88.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 4,165 bets |
| ivanpetrov7770x367b…2a13 | Yes | 15 | 13.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 12 | 11.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 6 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 6 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| perepuk0x51f2…38ef | Yes | 1 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| dsosods0x9868…907e | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 58dgfd0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 36dgfdgdgdg0x5314…5db9 | Yes | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bvmontes0x3c3e…5a86 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.91 per $100 · 4,777 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 131,998 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 4 shares each side · Show
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