Market · 53 of 71 outcomes
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 1,816 | 96.2¢ | $1.76K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 28 | 94.7¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,747 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 25 | 98.8¢ | $24 | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,368 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 19 | 95.8¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| Indianwolf0xc24d…aaea | No | 15 | 96.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 455 | 2.6¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 11 | 95.3¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 98,025+ bets · updating |
| axiol0x8217…4936 | No | 11 | 96.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 7,573 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 192 | 6.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 22,057 bets |
| devin.lawson.770x94d6…9ab8 | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 7,461 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 98 | 3.9¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 6,087 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 90 | 3.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 88 | 1.5¢ | $2 | — |
| notworthit0x1b3f…b538 | No | 2 | 95.9¢ | $2 | New21 settled bets |
| FELICIOLLI010xa2db…a60d | Yes | 50 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 39 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 18,514 bets |
| Pjchougule - 13260x2998…b425 | No | 1 | 95.4¢ | $1 | — |
| clausemaster0x9b68…b64b | Yes | 35 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 32 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 0x523c…46d4 | Yes | 32 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa55b…9d08 | Yes | 32 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0ad2…9014 | Yes | 28 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x11d4…7f71 | Yes | 28 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7f84…d4fd | Yes | 28 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8455…fa3d | Yes | 28 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x872b…13a2 | Yes | 28 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x998f…6e31 | Yes | 28 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2eb…a2c3 | Yes | 28 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb3bf…607a | Yes | 28 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc117…eb52 | Yes | 24 | 4.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x150f…bda3 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa358…a4b6 | Yes | 22 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa68b…645a | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xad1f…3737 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbdf6…d59e | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd424…f38f | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd591…cee1 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe155…9810 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa7ec…ae8f | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| destropyer0x363c…4463 | Yes | 21 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 20 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| 0x40f8…c95d | Yes | 20 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x550c…3ee9 | Yes | 20 | 4.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcff4…3ff0 | Yes | 15 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3b57…a8fa | Yes | 14 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 11 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb01d…52cc | Yes | 8 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 50kcasestudy0xeb54…d452 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd587…45fd | Yes | 6 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed86…092e | Yes | 5 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 2 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| abc12311124410x5b29…e882 | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$24.93 per $100 · 1,352 bets |
| 0x9d5b…2a75 | Yes | 1 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| tcf0o6lh0x5818…5642 | No | 0 | 94.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 230 bets |
| highfiveHQ0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.