Market · 16 of 16 outcomes
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| patientman0x6a3b…c0e0 | No | 2,163 | 94.3¢ | $2.14K | New26 settled bets |
| yannfournier0xcc8a…7d9c | No | 21 | 95.6¢ | $21 | — |
| jarkotaialap0x144e…d596 | No | 15 | 98.8¢ | $15 | — |
| peakyman0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | 450 | 2.4¢ | $6 | — |
| olivas0x37a0…ec34 | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 778 bets |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 395 | 8.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 4 | 96.9¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 632 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 251 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 244 | 6.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 206 | 3.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 2 | 96.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 166 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 136 | 5.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 129 | 3.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 110 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 100 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xca4c…186f | No | 1 | 83.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1508…2e0b | No | 1 | 95.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 98.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.67 per $100 · 350 bets |
| meow-1230x0739…aba8 | No | 1 | 83.6¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 61 | 16.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,825+ bets · updating |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 45 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 42 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 25 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 0 | 95.4¢ | $0 | — |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | Yes | 14 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hiwerwe0x2e09…8456 | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 8 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 96.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| FreshNewBeginning0xddf6…6b37 | Yes | 4 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| fafafaf1110x594d…a217 | No | 0 | 82.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Elton1230x8673…4025 | No | 0 | 82.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| 63sdf0x601f…76ad | Yes | 0 | 5.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 557 bets |
| 0xa989…f5ba | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.