Market · 8 of 21 outcomes
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tyuqq0x51d4…87c6 | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | — |
| rttt80x3a32…dce9 | No | 32 | 99.9¢ | $32 | — |
| pouying0x446e…a882 | No | 29 | 99.9¢ | $29 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 19,567 | 3.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$6.76 per $100 · 71,370+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 18,461 | 3.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 18,360 | 3.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,816 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 16,981 | 3.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,319 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 13,569 | 3.1¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| 154f0x8fef…10d6 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 10,582 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 9,917 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 7,048 | 3.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 20,576 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 6,060 | 3.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,608 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 4,914 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 4,815 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 3,217 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 3,162 | 3.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 2,995 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 2,484 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 1,833 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 1,801 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 1,774 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 1,709 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.62 per $100 · 17,356 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 1,701 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,599 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 1,516 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 1,228 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 942 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 922 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 587 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 434 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | Yes | 409 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.06 per $100 · 23,105 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 404 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,760 bets |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 400 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.27 per $100 · 616 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 397 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 361 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 348 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 300 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.08 per $100 · 21,166 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 288 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 277 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 274 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 264 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 225 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 217 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 201 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.68 per $100 · 56,830+ bets · updating |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 200 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 135 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 12,103 bets |
| mapleggg0x6bdc…6fcd | Yes | 133 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| poposub0x3d7d…10fc | Yes | 115 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 15,432 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.