Market · 9 of 20 outcomes
Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 400 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x34f4…0983 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 149 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 145 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 88 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 87 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 82 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 43 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 15 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 9 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.76 per $100 · 71,440+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.