Market · 11 of 23 outcomes
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 1,923 | 79.2¢ | $1.64K | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,658 | 85.9¢ | $1.42K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 1,551 | 18.1¢ | $225 | Proven+$13.22 per $100 · 3,556 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 200 | 88.0¢ | $171 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 926 | 18.0¢ | $134 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 133 | 83.4¢ | $114 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 125 | 86.0¢ | $107 | — |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 100 | 85.0¢ | $86 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 97 | 85.6¢ | $83 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 405 | 22.7¢ | $59 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 300 | 39.1¢ | $43 | — |
| KG0080xb7c0…8ef2 | No | 40 | 76.0¢ | $34 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 194 | 22.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| stra-h220x92c8…ebd8 | No | 32 | 9.4¢ | $27 | — |
| Flurp330xdf2f…02f1 | No | 25 | 65.0¢ | $21 | — |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 24 | 84.0¢ | $20 | New42 settled bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 123 | 19.0¢ | $18 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| RolandZhang0x0cd6…2784 | Yes | 76 | 18.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 218 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 67 | 6.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| balabalababalabala0x2779…239a | Yes | 61 | 18.4¢ | $9 | Losing−$4.35 per $100 · 2,323 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 61 | 18.5¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | 50 | 20.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.04 per $100 · 4,142 bets |
| luccajales0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | 50 | 41.0¢ | $7 | — |
| oliveiraielson0x50f4…04d4 | Yes | 50 | 26.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 562 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 45 | 59.0¢ | $7 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 34 | 20.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 42.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 29 | 43.0¢ | $4 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 24 | 21.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x3e8a…0f61 | Yes | 23 | 43.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$4.75 per $100 · 6,667 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 20 | 45.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 20 | 43.0¢ | $3 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 20 | 26.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 20 | 26.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,922 bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 38.0¢ | $3 | — |
| yoyo4242690xa314…5ba7 | Yes | 20 | 25.0¢ | $3 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | Yes | 20 | 31.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 3 | 90.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| romanew-crypto0xdd3b…9f3a | No | 3 | 48.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 11 | 19.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | Yes | 10 | 33.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.13 per $100 · 10,906 bets |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | Yes | 10 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.09 per $100 · 12,017 bets |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | Yes | 10 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 11,091 bets |
| sdafsafd0x8513…6a53 | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | Yes | 10 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | Yes | 10 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | Yes | 10 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 9 | 29.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| 0x8a00…59e2 | Yes | 8 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 84.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 5 | 16.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 2 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 1 | 21.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.94 per $100 · 537 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 0 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 4,882 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x84d4…77a9 | Yes | 0 | 20.4¢ | $0 | — |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | Yes | 0 | 47.0¢ | $0 | — |
| romanew-cryp0xbd91…6262 | Yes | 0 | 48.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.04 per $100 · 3,574 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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