Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will Arinalda do MLB win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,625 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,355 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,441 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,699 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 1,079 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 159,404+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 676 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,279 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | 488 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 331 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,893 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 281 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 58,180 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 239 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 211 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 189 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.18 per $100 · 11,552 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 130 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 95 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$27.97 per $100 · 1,287 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 85 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 80 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 77 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 60 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 60 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 50 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 50 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 50 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | Yes | 43 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 43 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 40 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 12,696 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 37 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 35 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
| lololol30xb155…2d7a | Yes | 27 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 26 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$45.07 per $100 · 12,069 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 22 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 18 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 10 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 9 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| mapleggg0x6bdc…6fcd | Yes | 8 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 8 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | Yes | 5 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 0xbe7d7f7bd98d4a029a9d79f1bfe26d97dabea30xa0ae…4a1e | Yes | 4 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 3 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.