Market · 2 of 6 outcomes
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 10,520 | 84.8¢ | $8.99K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 9,043 | 84.0¢ | $7.73K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 8,893 | 88.1¢ | $7.6K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| MonacoLover0xb8b4…1f6e | No | 4,285 | 85.2¢ | $3.66K | Losing−$9.91 per $100 · 139 bets |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | No | 3,236 | 82.6¢ | $2.77K | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,149 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | 11,238 | 31.0¢ | $1.63K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 9,879 | 13.0¢ | $1.43K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| betwick0xc851…cd2a | Yes | 9,108 | 17.3¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$5.31 per $100 · 770 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | No | 1,000 | 75.0¢ | $855 | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| tywed0xc8e3…6fb0 | No | 1,000 | 68.0¢ | $855 | — |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 900 | 83.5¢ | $770 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| 1310710xa8b9…6b7c | Yes | 4,838 | 15.5¢ | $702 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 820 | 84.1¢ | $701 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| fridnedise0x1d86…ad02 | No | 500 | 69.0¢ | $428 | — |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | No | 422 | 81.2¢ | $361 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 2,299 | 41.4¢ | $333 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 362 | 85.0¢ | $310 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,209 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 331 | 85.0¢ | $283 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 315 | 84.0¢ | $269 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 242 | 86.0¢ | $207 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| 15billionplus0x6406…bc04 | No | 200 | 86.0¢ | $171 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 1,811 bets |
| 0xd8fa…581f | No | 174 | 72.0¢ | $148 | — |
| Bitman01010x49d5…2e07 | Yes | 1,000 | 54.0¢ | $145 | — |
| JEBETxyz0x4153…967d | No | 159 | 63.0¢ | $136 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 111 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 120 | 86.0¢ | $103 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| Gr-20xf95d…0b23 | No | 120 | 85.0¢ | $103 | — |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | No | 112 | 83.3¢ | $95 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 651 | 33.0¢ | $94 | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,716 bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 631 | 13.0¢ | $91 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | No | 100 | 62.0¢ | $86 | — |
| HardZix0xf30a…3583 | No | 100 | 67.4¢ | $86 | — |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 500 | 13.0¢ | $73 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | Yes | 461 | 54.5¢ | $67 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 75 | 74.0¢ | $64 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | No | 55 | 85.0¢ | $47 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 50 | 70.5¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 271 | 13.6¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 234 | 14.8¢ | $34 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No | 38 | 87.1¢ | $33 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 202 | 32.0¢ | $29 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| Simon4s0xe8a6…644b | Yes | 200 | 48.0¢ | $29 | — |
| diliwulishuxue0x2434…84aa | Yes | 185 | 31.0¢ | $27 | — |
| QuietEdgeX0xf1fd…e00d | No | 29 | 86.4¢ | $25 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 166 | 10.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 157 | 50.9¢ | $23 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| Cy6660xe25e…8440 | No | 25 | 81.4¢ | $21 | — |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 23 | 86.0¢ | $20 | New42 settled bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| tony7780xd286…d55d | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $17 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 115 | 13.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | Yes | 105 | 19.0¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| lighter3000x5b8d…a1ae | Yes | 98 | 16.6¢ | $14 | — |
| henghengming0x258f…f004 | Yes | 97 | 29.0¢ | $14 | — |
| FishermansFiend0x3a59…6c6f | No | 16 | 91.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 177 bets |
| JEndo0xfb58…39e5 | No | 16 | 83.9¢ | $14 | — |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | No | 16 | 89.9¢ | $14 | Losing−$12.60 per $100 · 4,915 bets |
| jianjianson0x6e2f…eff8 | Yes | 90 | 31.0¢ | $13 | — |
| yangyangj0xde89…fe76 | Yes | 83 | 29.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xf610…741c | No | 14 | 72.4¢ | $12 | — |
| Seldon260x8030…7b74 | No | 14 | 72.0¢ | $12 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 76 | 40.8¢ | $11 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef0x87d1…3da3 | Yes | 67 | 32.2¢ | $10 | — |
| ClickingButtons70x8029…bafc | No | 11 | 81.0¢ | $9 | — |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | No | 10 | 80.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | Yes | 59 | 34.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| wJhraCcPrd46Tjla0x0b2e…bb34 | Yes | 51 | 11.4¢ | $7 | — |
| pollyg0x394e…c26a | Yes | 50 | 20.0¢ | $7 | — |
| proofofsteak0x4f40…a69c | No | 8 | 81.4¢ | $7 | — |
| PolyEGG0x60a8…7d37 | No | 8 | 57.8¢ | $7 | — |
| chayeyiner0xf9c0…60cf | Yes | 45 | 31.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xb4f6…eada | Yes | 43 | 30.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Karooo0xf283…da05 | Yes | 40 | 23.2¢ | $6 | — |
| petruccci0x9370…9e88 | No | 7 | 85.0¢ | $6 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Yes | 38 | 34.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| BobbyBrant0x9028…8608 | Yes | 38 | 34.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Po1yBot-wfDDVt3EQS0x8ca4…7e83 | Yes | 36 | 54.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xbe82…ed74 | No | 6 | 72.0¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 34 | 35.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| stefangod0x101e…d4da | No | 5 | 73.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.08 per $100 · 1,424 bets |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | Yes | 30 | 12.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x60c2…a5b7 | No | 5 | 50.0¢ | $4 | — |
| KiraHK10xa87f…864d | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $4 | — |
| BLG.viper0xd63d…e141 | No | 5 | 56.0¢ | $4 | — |
| joennis0xd85d…3700 | Yes | 29 | 35.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xb1fa…3b9a | No | 5 | 62.0¢ | $4 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 28 | 17.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x8649…e839 | No | 4 | 61.0¢ | $4 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 16 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ljkilian0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | 15 | 13.2¢ | $2 | — |
| bertross0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | 15 | 31.7¢ | $2 | — |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 14 | 13.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 117 bets |
| fresh0xd064…c4d1 | Yes | 10 | 52.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x351d…0ebe | Yes | 9 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| e58xukrsmqza0x6626…584c | Yes | 8 | 58.6¢ | $1 | — |
| StormRazer0xa937…4152 | Yes | 8 | 29.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x864e…f9f6 | Yes | 7 | 15.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9baf…715c | Yes | 7 | 30.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf7ce…d0b7 | Yes | 7 | 39.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Koizainas0xa636…3c2f | Yes | 7 | 29.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.