Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 12,113 | 48.5¢ | $6.24K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,258 bets |
| LimitOrderLarry0x2568…ef92 | Yes | 3,281 | 38.8¢ | $1.69K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| OhneScharf0xd277…73fe | No | 1,600 | 68.6¢ | $776 | — |
| Nightfr0xa38e…5062 | No | 1,195 | 62.6¢ | $580 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 840 | 48.6¢ | $433 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| Socialista0xfa01…f0a7 | Yes | 500 | 48.2¢ | $258 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 7,515 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 514 | 48.8¢ | $249 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 398 | 40.2¢ | $205 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| 0x3a9d…f332 | Yes | 383 | 42.2¢ | $197 | — |
| satokaede0xe3cf…9dc0 | No | 357 | 70.0¢ | $173 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | No | 346 | 52.0¢ | $168 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | No | 330 | 53.0¢ | $160 | Positive+$3.67 per $100 · 14,485 bets |
| pogb0xc03f…249d | No | 300 | 52.0¢ | $146 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 259 | 52.3¢ | $126 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 243 | 49.1¢ | $125 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | No | 223 | 51.0¢ | $108 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,696 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 220 | 53.0¢ | $107 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Cescoli0x569b…c66e | Yes | 200 | 33.0¢ | $103 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 200 | 52.0¢ | $97 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| rocky420070x6b17…03b2 | No | 166 | 48.0¢ | $81 | — |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | No | 150 | 53.0¢ | $73 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 139 | 44.2¢ | $72 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| ms19100x154e…911f | No | 120 | 70.8¢ | $58 | — |
| AboveLookUp0xe720…137c | Yes | 100 | 48.2¢ | $52 | — |
| 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | 97 | 50.0¢ | $50 | — |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | No | 103 | 51.0¢ | $50 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 100 | 53.0¢ | $49 | — |
| doddo120x130d…3615 | No | 92 | 50.0¢ | $44 | — |
| Zenith-Nadir0x5d86…5073 | No | 88 | 61.0¢ | $43 | — |
| memorymaker20490x9259…c2d3 | Yes | 80 | 50.5¢ | $41 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 80 | 67.0¢ | $39 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 52 | 53.0¢ | $25 | — |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | Yes | 49 | 46.2¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| tiromi0x0dfe…e95b | No | 50 | 53.0¢ | $24 | — |
| hjss0x272d…9e36 | No | 50 | 48.0¢ | $24 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 50 | 53.0¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x4264…f8bf | No | 50 | 51.0¢ | $24 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 50 | 52.0¢ | $24 | — |
| dissk0x89f0…1e62 | No | 50 | 48.0¢ | $24 | — |
| trader-aaaae9840xaaaa…6783 | No | 50 | 52.0¢ | $24 | — |
| Brasco.030x35e7…f6cf | Yes | 43 | 47.2¢ | $22 | — |
| zstaxpl4fpb20x92c7…89f5 | Yes | 39 | 49.6¢ | $20 | — |
| 77kbCcPrd2uG8w0x8dde…5045 | Yes | 38 | 46.2¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 174 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 39 | 59.0¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 28 | 35.0¢ | $14 | — |
| sharonhall0x96e1…98bc | No | 28 | 61.2¢ | $14 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 23 | 51.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| betstaker0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | 21 | 46.2¢ | $11 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 542 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 19 | 44.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 19 | 47.2¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 20 | 72.0¢ | $10 | — |
| ses06war0x67c9…1ef1 | Yes | 18 | 46.2¢ | $9 | — |
| KreoAnon0xe9ce…711f | Yes | 15 | 53.2¢ | $8 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 15 | 59.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xb4f6…eada | Yes | 14 | 46.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | Yes | 12 | 46.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ccyy20260x4282…3455 | Yes | 12 | 52.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 1,685 bets |
| pol-ysniper0x41b1…4342 | Yes | 10 | 48.2¢ | $5 | — |
| anonymousey0x8fdf…af9e | Yes | 9 | 46.2¢ | $5 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | Yes | 9 | 44.0¢ | $5 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | No | 9 | 53.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 5-testfollower-car0x3be5…f7fe | Yes | 8 | 46.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 8 | 61.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 7 | 49.2¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| Frenonski0xf784…ab48 | No | 5 | 52.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 1,570 bets |
| juanblazme0x3334…7707 | Yes | 2 | 42.2¢ | $1 | — |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 1 | 70.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 42.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 34.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 1 | 60.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| China-Eastern0xb58d…7336 | Yes | 0 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 46.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| SolTerraLuna0x3cd2…c545 | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| oliveiraielson0x50f4…04d4 | No | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | No | 0 | 53.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mdooks0xf66f…d714 | No | 0 | 62.1¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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