André Ceciliano

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 100¢ right now.

Decided by

The market resolves according to the candidate who wins this election.§2

Not known by deadline

If the result isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§4

Ambiguity

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on official results reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the TSE.§6

Temporary governors

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed before the election are not considered.§3

Runoff

A runoff is held October 25, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes in the first round.§1

Counted

The candidate who wins the election; temporary, interim or placeholder governors are not counted.§3

Source

A consensus of credible reporting; if ambiguous, official results from the Brazilian government's Superior Electoral Court (TSE).§5

Closes

Oct 5, 2026 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.