Ana Brnabić

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 89.4¢ right now.

Decided by

The next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.§1

No PM by deadline

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§4

Caretaker PM

An interim or caretaker Prime Minister not elected by the National Assembly does not count.§3

Ambiguity

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves solely based on official information from the Serbian government.§6

Counted

The individual must be elected by the National Assembly and formally sworn-in, forming a new government.§2

Source

A consensus of credible reporting; official information from the Serbian government if there is ambiguity.§5

Closes

Oct 25, 2026 · 23:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.