Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 153 | 25.8¢ | $35 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 31 | 84.8¢ | $24 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 20 | 74.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 8 | 72.9¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 0xf965…ccb0 | No | 8 | 79.7¢ | $6 | New34 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 7 | 70.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,024 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 5 outcomes add up to 105.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.