Market · 12 of 21 outcomes
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 20,237 | 3.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 19,818 | 3.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$3.69 per $100 · 144,760+ bets · updating |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 18,577 | 3.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.95 per $100 · 18,827 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 18,183 | 3.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,360 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 14,170 | 3.1¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 10,582 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 7,048 | 3.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.22 per $100 · 20,606 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 5,990 | 3.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,703 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 5,784 | 3.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 5,114 | 3.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 3,489 | 3.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 3,258 | 3.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 3,217 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 2,729 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 1,833 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 1,801 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 1,756 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 1,709 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 1,701 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,599 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 1,516 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 1,488 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1,092 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| 0x1a45…be06 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ailas0x6b3c…e1f0 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$17.10 per $100 · 152 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 973 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 773 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 728 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,107+ bets · updating |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 632 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.91 per $100 · 5,696 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 603 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 587 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| em...well0x9797…2532 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 441 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 434 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 429 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | Yes | 409 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.70 per $100 · 23,195 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 404 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,822 bets |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 400 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.27 per $100 · 616 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 300 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.08 per $100 · 21,166 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 277 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 274 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 264 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 217 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 200 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 135 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 12,423 bets |
| mapleggg0x6bdc…6fcd | Yes | 133 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| poposub0x3d7d…10fc | Yes | 115 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 15,432 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.