Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bmraposo0xa470…616b | Yes | 2,839 | 90.2¢ | $2.37K | — |
| Tradman0x6ac7…aabb | Yes | 1,340 | 85.3¢ | $1.12K | New52 settled bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 920 | 60.5¢ | $768 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| 0xce83…5b97 | Yes | 911 | 75.6¢ | $760 | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 496 bets |
| 0x2815…7f0c | Yes | 776 | 86.0¢ | $648 | — |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | Yes | 770 | 86.6¢ | $643 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| DarkFish0x87cb…6232 | Yes | 657 | 83.1¢ | $548 | — |
| GabiFP0x65d4…b7e3 | Yes | 565 | 82.5¢ | $472 | Proven+$11.19 per $100 · 377 bets |
| Political-Predator20x6f6c…e2d8 | Yes | 429 | 85.5¢ | $358 | — |
| themain0x2f9d…deb3 | Yes | 368 | 85.5¢ | $307 | New40 settled bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 300 | 71.5¢ | $251 | — |
| Seeking-Alpha010x0a9c…d552 | No | 1,406 | 34.0¢ | $232 | — |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 231 | 74.7¢ | $193 | Proven+$7.84 per $100 · 1,852 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 212 | 75.8¢ | $177 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| smartpreset0x1680…490d | Yes | 189 | 78.2¢ | $158 | Losing−$6.07 per $100 · 985 bets |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | Yes | 162 | 76.7¢ | $135 | — |
| Vegetadu350x41bb…2eb6 | Yes | 162 | 87.1¢ | $135 | New78 settled bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 159 | 54.1¢ | $133 | Proven+$21.25 per $100 · 1,817 bets |
| Nicolasro910x671c…e261 | Yes | 155 | 65.1¢ | $129 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 760 | 12.2¢ | $125 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,122 bets |
| Relaccsed0xa6b7…d5f3 | Yes | 146 | 62.9¢ | $122 | — |
| 0x05ae…5323 | Yes | 124 | 57.3¢ | $104 | — |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | No | 614 | 17.1¢ | $101 | — |
| estoicc0x738a…5996 | Yes | 111 | 63.9¢ | $93 | Proven+$20.79 per $100 · 759 bets |
| 0x9dd6…cfde | Yes | 96 | 84.5¢ | $81 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 80 | 72.7¢ | $67 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| NIKKO0x3978…4309 | Yes | 80 | 80.2¢ | $66 | — |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 72 | 71.9¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.57 per $100 · 3,812 bets |
| Money2800xd24e…3d72 | Yes | 69 | 76.0¢ | $58 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 324 | 42.6¢ | $54 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| Higeafisio0x8868…bfdf | Yes | 59 | 88.4¢ | $49 | — |
| Laribobibo0x721a…9295 | Yes | 58 | 81.0¢ | $48 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 56 | 71.7¢ | $47 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 5,310 bets |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | Yes | 50 | 73.4¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Yes | 50 | 60.0¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| alldoubt0xd69a…74c3 | Yes | 49 | 89.2¢ | $41 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x2d75…4e46 | Yes | 45 | 84.0¢ | $38 | Proven+$8.58 per $100 · 183 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 40 | 3.0¢ | $33 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 202 | 16.0¢ | $33 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| eqzwe103qwie0x38a5…e97f | Yes | 39 | 67.0¢ | $33 | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 480 bets |
| sidgley0xc4df…2313 | No | 197 | 14.7¢ | $33 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 36 | 3.8¢ | $30 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,261 bets |
| yessirskis0x1c62…ca89 | Yes | 36 | 69.9¢ | $30 | Losing−$5.19 per $100 · 772 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 36 | 76.4¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,001 bets |
| HyphenFrox0x0518…5da2 | Yes | 36 | 70.8¢ | $30 | — |
| Eliasjunior0xbf66…9859 | No | 155 | 19.6¢ | $26 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 139 | 18.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,893 bets |
| kirby260xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | 27 | 58.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$6.53 per $100 · 3,226 bets |
| juniorgeleia0x81a1…1372 | No | 131 | 19.6¢ | $22 | — |
| micaelo0x3379…f44a | Yes | 25 | 88.4¢ | $21 | — |
| burityps0xf1bc…f674 | No | 124 | 15.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xb796…be37 | Yes | 21 | 89.4¢ | $18 | — |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | No | 95 | 32.9¢ | $16 | Positive+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| zhyfacai0xc320…3d45 | No | 95 | 31.9¢ | $16 | Losing−$14.81 per $100 · 275 bets |
| walkwithyourboy0xbc1f…8f78 | Yes | 17 | 60.0¢ | $14 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 15 | 80.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 65 | 21.5¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 14,285 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 61 | 14.8¢ | $10 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,346 bets |
| 0x7157…e799 | Yes | 12 | 61.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 424 bets |
| 0xec17…0af9 | Yes | 12 | 61.0¢ | $10 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 51 | 22.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 45 | 16.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| 0xa06e…d147 | No | 42 | 24.7¢ | $7 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 40 | 39.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| 0x6b25…7a69 | No | 38 | 22.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$4.56 per $100 · 4,437 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 7 | 84.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 32 | 16.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 23,601 bets |
| rasvp0x6a60…ea7d | No | 23 | 23.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.06 per $100 · 552 bets |
| 0x13e1…0805 | No | 20 | 45.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 20 | 15.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| 0x6d7f…1d58 | No | 20 | 67.0¢ | $3 | — |
| pad60xadb4…bc39 | No | 20 | 30.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 37.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 3,608 bets |
| meitalg0x1790…30f7 | No | 10 | 33.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.11 per $100 · 1,362 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 37.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 39.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 7,693 bets |
| BigMoney160x94df…e399 | No | 10 | 33.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1632…4e9f | No | 8 | 22.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 3dfx0x4d2e…0ed4 | No | 8 | 13.5¢ | $1 | — |
| sherry360xf047…712b | No | 8 | 30.8¢ | $1 | — |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | No | 6 | 31.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x978b…2add | No | 5 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| realmgow0x8526…8d34 | No | 4 | 24.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 1 | 57.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 12.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| J255250x7e80…631b | No | 1 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 1 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 19.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,696 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 0 | 28.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.73 per $100 · 16,779 bets |
| AllyouneedisClaude0x4708…9580 | No | 0 | 41.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.