Market · 6 of 21 outcomes
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hotcatcat0x3eca…ab82 | No | 120 | 99.6¢ | $120 | New74 settled bets |
| dfeeoire0x526e…b36f | No | 96 | 99.7¢ | $96 | — |
| jkklkl0x560c…e0ca | No | 60 | 99.6¢ | $60 | — |
| ndai0xd4e6…921c | No | 30 | 99.9¢ | $30 | — |
| hgruya0x4d96…15c5 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| 011110x9aa4…b95a | No | 17 | 99.9¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xee8a…f0b0 | Yes | 30,260 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 18,914 | 0.1¢ | $9 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 16,000 | 0.1¢ | $8 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| 1235dc0x6dea…655f | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 12,739 | 3.1¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,293 bets |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 12,186 | 0.1¢ | $6 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 11,947 | 3.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,710 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 10,733 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,453 bets |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.3¢ | $5 | New45 settled bets |
| 154f0x8fef…10d6 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 9,498 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,927 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 3,217 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| F0ulplay0x3674…2fc6 | Yes | 2,908 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| safetyashdlaaa0x887f…7289 | Yes | 2,805 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 2,766 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 2,583 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5825…f249 | No | 1 | 100.8¢ | $1 | — |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 2,305 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,817 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,599 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| ailas0x6b3c…e1f0 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$17.10 per $100 · 152 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 856 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 625 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,761 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 483 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 467 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | Yes | 409 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.71 per $100 · 23,284 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 397 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 310 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.18 per $100 · 20,625 bets |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 300 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.27 per $100 · 616 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 300 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 274 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| Edje250x6268…6031 | Yes | 249 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$30.90 per $100 · 1,836 bets |
| 0x4dc3…4702 | Yes | 223 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 219 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 200 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.08 per $100 · 21,166 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 153 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| poposub0x3d7d…10fc | Yes | 115 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 15,432 bets |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 55 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,065 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 54 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,555+ bets · updating |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 50 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 40 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 27 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,295 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 24 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 22 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Jzhang210x173d…a8ba | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| jksdnf0xb6bf…c1c1 | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 474 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.