Market · 3 of 20 outcomes
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | No | 200 | 87.5¢ | $176 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 195 | 70.5¢ | $171 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 530 | 13.0¢ | $64 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 267 | 30.8¢ | $32 | — |
| SingletonFamilyFund0x4c4e…297b | Yes | 164 | 2.5¢ | $20 | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 128 | 13.6¢ | $15 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 108 | 12.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 105 | 17.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 88 | 2.9¢ | $11 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 83 | 29.2¢ | $10 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 80 | 25.9¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| djtj670xe8ad…2602 | Yes | 70 | 22.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 61 | 13.1¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 57 | 2.9¢ | $7 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 6 | 60.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 22 | 29.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 3 | 78.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 34.0¢ | $2 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 18 | 11.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0x02b8…e0ee | No | 2 | 80.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xdb59…189a | No | 1 | 71.8¢ | $1 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 8 | 30.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 7 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| asfui8j90x9771…605e | Yes | 5 | 37.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 3 | 19.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 3 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 3 | 28.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 89.7¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1 | 34.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 1 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 1 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 37.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 26.8¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,319 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| letmehavethat0x5651…83e1 | Yes | 1 | 37.3¢ | $0 | — |
| brra0x9435…91fd | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 0 | 34.9¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 6.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.