Market · 19 of 30 outcomes
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nbkss30x35e7…ebe5 | No | 30 | 99.9¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 9,656 | 0.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 8,419 | 0.2¢ | $8 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 6,136 | 0.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 4,281 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,445 bets |
| Simyi0x1e85…8aaa | Yes | 3,435 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x6965…ef08 | Yes | 2,043 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,254 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,199 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,120 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| Kopyfxsghb0xd63c…3728 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 863 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 761 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,029 bets |
| Kent7770x1463…ce78 | Yes | 737 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.36 per $100 · 242 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 579 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,491 bets |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| varuverma0x0c87…98b1 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| tobimateu0x33ae…b13e | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 460 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| acc320x3a30…99ec | Yes | 338 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.35 per $100 · 2,446 bets |
| tiki.taco0x9225…1d5a | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| HiroshiTana0xa78d…6b41 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 296 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| xaas0x5d0d…0a2d | Yes | 258 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | 255 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 252 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| MartinaCandombe0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | 200 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 7,461 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 160 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 160 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| 0x90b0…cf23 | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| AheadArbitrage0xb14e…fbf8 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 136 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 135 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 109 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,472 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 100 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 93 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x17d9…c793 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2438…80a1 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4c6d…76e6 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa5ef…ee91 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| jinkingse0xa906…b6af | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb0d4…8ee5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| cyphergalaxy0xb76f…bf16 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.