Market · 4 of 71 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 6,901 | 81.1¢ | $6.11K | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | No | 1,679 | 89.7¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 1,500 | 79.5¢ | $1.33K | Losing−$5.66 per $100 · 1,489 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 1,261 | 91.1¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| Wsix0x56c5…dbcf | Yes | 5,421 | 18.3¢ | $623 | New86 settled bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 537 | 86.0¢ | $475 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 500 | 91.0¢ | $443 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | Yes | 2,580 | 7.8¢ | $297 | Positive+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 | No | 191 | 87.2¢ | $169 | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 1,693 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 182 | 55.0¢ | $161 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 1,109 | 10.0¢ | $128 | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 117 bets |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 1,069 | 7.9¢ | $123 | New89 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 127 | 93.9¢ | $112 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 950 | 17.4¢ | $109 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 827 | 15.7¢ | $95 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 103 | 90.8¢ | $91 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mf.mj170xae3c…73e0 | No | 49 | 94.0¢ | $44 | — |
| UsualSuspects0xe097…d811 | No | 40 | 82.0¢ | $35 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 39 | 82.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | No | 36 | 91.0¢ | $32 | — |
| Zachattack5000x4cf2…e31c | Yes | 226 | 8.1¢ | $26 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 391 bets |
| 0x8c7b…2a87 | Yes | 200 | 18.9¢ | $23 | — |
| lizlocks0x8b1c…1ec7 | Yes | 160 | 8.0¢ | $18 | — |
| shinramyvn0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | 157 | 8.3¢ | $18 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 18 | 89.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 91.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.88 per $100 · 1,656 bets |
| magicbed0xc37b…9b85 | No | 9 | 87.0¢ | $8 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 66 | 14.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| 0x3f8a…1e62 | Yes | 63 | 24.4¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xe2cc…cdad | No | 8 | 88.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 8 | 90.0¢ | $7 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 8 | 86.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 50 | 15.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| danielkruk0x9c50…73bc | Yes | 47 | 11.2¢ | $5 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 45 | 13.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 40 | 26.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| 0xad99…dbab | No | 5 | 87.5¢ | $4 | — |
| E.T0x6b60…4007 | No | 5 | 86.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 4 | 84.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 32 | 6.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 30 | 36.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| 0x8c14…4992 | Yes | 26 | 18.0¢ | $3 | — |
| rolller0x3b7b…2d1a | Yes | 20 | 13.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Crocoflex0xcc38…5bb2 | Yes | 19 | 16.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4a80…e1ee | Yes | 16 | 7.1¢ | $2 | — |
| MatthewMartinez74140x036f…31a9 | No | 2 | 77.0¢ | $2 | — |
| oracleoforacles0x748c…214a | Yes | 10 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Teem090xb9d3…17c1 | Yes | 10 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| betterbet1230xec4f…9d60 | No | 1 | 79.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5921…6e90 | Yes | 9 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 9 | 17.6¢ | $1 | — |
| saiwang20260x025d…5b22 | No | 1 | 88.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x33cb…0ccf | Yes | 7 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| louj750180x480f…7c91 | Yes | 5 | 31.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.01 per $100 · 456 bets |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | Yes | 5 | 21.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 20,907 bets |
| GNS0xabbd…322e | Yes | 5 | 23.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | 5 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 4 | 37.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 3 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 2 | 27.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| JoshuaDay95260x9f6a…53e0 | Yes | 1 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SheliaHolland62120xb547…a237 | Yes | 1 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xacba…b05a | Yes | 1 | 16.5¢ | $0 | — |
| no1biao0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | 1 | 24.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 0 | 10.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | 0 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| okakokak0x79c1…497d | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,840 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 92.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PX53000xd6ee…37a2 | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 11.4¢ | $0 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 0 | 24.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Crayon0xc95c…5e0b | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.