Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gmgmgmgmg0xfe2d…da35 | No | 300 | 99.9¢ | $299 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | No | 270 | 99.9¢ | $269 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,921 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad |
| No |
| 103 |
| 99.9¢ |
| $103 |
| Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 2,023 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Proven+$8.57 per $100 · 7,249 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 936 | 5.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,601 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 786 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 402 | 5.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 368 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 158 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| 2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f.0x2200…474f | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 149 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 128 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 112 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 101 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 61 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| 0x4edd…d5c9 | Yes | 60 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| cwc9090x8db4…9c07 | Yes | 50 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | Yes | 31 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| StillGotTheBlues0xb31c…dc78 | Yes | 20 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 18 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | Yes | 15 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| kevinsdad10x2aeb…357e | Yes | 14 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 13 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 10 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,770 bets |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 6 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | Yes | 5 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| tuterw0xa047…4ffa | Yes | 4 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf2eb…6eb5 | Yes | 3 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 0 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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