As written on Polymarket for “Will Alberta join the US? ”.
§1This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
§2Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
§3Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
§4An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur.
§5Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
§6The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
The market resolves "Yes" if it is officially announced Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by the…§1
Announcement counts
An official announcement by the US and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty qualifies, even if the transfer has not happened.§4
Only official actions
Only announcements of official agreements or actions, such as a ratified treaty or signed legislation, count.§5
Not official
Mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on social media will not count.§5